Federated Auto Parts 300

Nashville Superspeedway — January 1, 2009

Kyle Busch
Winner
225
Laps
43
Entries
8
Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2009 Federated Auto Parts 300 at Nashville Superspeedway on January 1, 2009, leading 173 of 225 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Carl Edwards rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Kyle Busch
2 10 +8 Brad Keselowski
3 6 +3 Carl Edwards
4 8 +4 Mike Bliss
5 12 +7 Jason Leffler
6 9 +3 Stephen Leicht
7 16 +9 Steve Wallace
8 3 -5 Michael McDowell
9 27 +18 Erik Darnell
10 4 -6 Brad Coleman
11 5 -6 Scott Lagasse Jr.
12 35 +23 Shelby Howard
13 24 +11 Justin Allgaier
14 21 +7 Bobby Hamilton Jr.
15 22 +7 Burney Lamar
16 28 +12 Kenny Wallace
17 43 +26 Morgan Shepherd
18 42 +24 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
19 40 +21 Tony Raines
20 37 +17 Brandon Whitt
21 29 +8 Robert Richardson Jr.
22 30 +8 Eric McClure
23 18 -5 Kevin Conway
24 7 -17 Brendan Gaughan
25 38 +13 Marc Davis
26 11 -15 Jason Keller
27 31 +4 Michael Annett
28 2 -26 Trevor Bayne
29 13 -16 Sean Caisse
30 25 -5 Brian Keselowski
31 15 -16 Cale Gale
32 19 -13 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
33 33 Scott Wimmer
34 39 +5 Kevin Lepage
35 26 -9 Kertus Davis
36 17 -19 Willie Allen
37 32 -5 Kelly Bires
38 23 -15 Johnny Chapman
39 41 +2 Mike Harmon
40 34 -6 Casey Atwood
41 36 -5 Brad Baker
42 14 -28 John Wes Townley
43 20 -23 Mark Green
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Busch 17.0 1 +16.0
2 Brad Keselowski 11.2 2 +9.2
8 Michael McDowell 17.0 8 +9.0
13 Justin Allgaier 18.3 13 +5.3
32 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 32 -12.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Busch: has 17 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 13.3 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 17.0 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Federated Auto Parts 300?
Kyle Busch won the 2009 Federated Auto Parts 300 at Nashville Superspeedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2009 Federated Auto Parts 300 held?
The 2009 Federated Auto Parts 300 was held at Nashville Superspeedway on January 1, 2009.