NASCARReference
The free NASCAR reference for driver stats, race results, and live standings, with 78 seasons of Cup, O'Reilly, and Truck Series data.
Race Predictions
The NR-Rating model ran 10,000 simulations of this race. Top 10 contenders by win probability, with their Top-5 finish share and expected finishing position.
| Rank | Driver | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | PickDenny Hamlin | 18.6% |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 17.5% |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | 16.2% |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 15.7% |
| 5 | Ty Gibbs | 12.8% |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 11.6% |
| 7 | Tyler Reddick | 9.7% |
| 8 | Chris Buescher | 8.4% |
| 9 | William Byron | 7.0% |
| 10 | Chase Briscoe | 6.2% |
Season So Far
Standings
Championship Odds
Trending This Week
Upcoming Races
| Date | Race | TV |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | Window World 450 |  |
| Jul 26 | Brickyard 400 | |
| Aug 9 | Iowa Corn 350 Powered by Ethanol |  |
| Aug 15 | Cook Out 400 | |
| Aug 23 | Dollar Tree 301 | |
| Aug 29 | Coke Zero Sugar 400 |  |
| Sep 6 | Cook Out Southern 500 | |
| Sep 13 | Enjoy Illinois 300 | |
About NASCAR Reference
NASCAR Reference is an independent, data-first platform covering the full breadth of stock car racing. Our database spans 78 seasons of Cup Series results dating back to 1949, 4,362 driver profiles with complete career statistics, and detailed track histories across all three national series. Browse historical standings or explore our NR-Rating prediction model, built on a transparent methodology, to see win probabilities, expected finishes, and performance quality scores. Built for fans settling debates, media on deadline, and bettors seeking an analytical edge. Learn more about our mission.
- Seasons
- 78
- Drivers
- 4,362
- Tracks
- 187
- Series
- 3