U.S. Cellular 250

Iowa Speedway — January 1, 2009

Brad Keselowski
Winner
250
Laps
43
Entries
5
Leaders

Brad Keselowski won the 2009 U.S. Cellular 250 at Iowa Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 121 of 250 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Jason Leffler rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Season
2009
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 11 +10 Brad Keselowski
2 27 +25 Kyle Busch
3 15 +12 Jason Leffler
4 40 +36 Carl Edwards
5 12 +7 Kelly Bires
6 13 +7 Jason Keller
7 24 +17 Kenny Wallace
8 9 +1 Michael McDowell
9 17 +8 Scott Lagasse Jr.
10 6 -4 Stephen Leicht
11 36 +25 Michael Annett
12 25 +13 Benny Gordon
13 5 -8 Brad Coleman
14 10 -4 Mike Bliss
15 2 -13 Justin Allgaier
16 20 +4 Johnny Borneman III
17 8 -9 Steve Wallace
18 18 Tony Raines
19 43 +24 Morgan Shepherd
20 39 +19 Eric McClure
21 37 +16 Matt Carter
22 1 -21 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
23 3 -20 Erik Darnell
24 33 +9 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
25 21 -4 Brendan Gaughan
26 4 -22 Trevor Bayne
27 38 +11 Sean Murphy
28 16 -12 Austin Dillon
29 44 +15 John Wes Townley
30 34 +4 Kevin Harvick
31 7 -24 Scott Wimmer
32 29 -3 Brian Ickler
33 23 -10 Ken Butler III
34 28 -6 Aric Almirola
35 22 -13 Casey Atwood
36 41 +5 Jeff Fuller
37 31 -6 Kertus Davis
38 19 -19 Mark Green
39 35 -4 Kevin Lepage
40 32 -8 Chase Miller
41 26 -15 Coleman Pressley
42 14 -28 Johnny Chapman
43 42 -1 Mike Harmon
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Brad Keselowski 11.2 1 +10.2
2 Kyle Busch 17.0 2 +15.0
8 Michael McDowell 17.0 8 +9.0
15 Justin Allgaier 18.3 15 +3.3
22 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 22 -2.1
28 Austin Dillon 17.1 28 -10.9

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Brad Keselowski: has 7 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 3.9 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 2 starts, 11.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 U.S. Cellular 250?
Brad Keselowski won the 2009 U.S. Cellular 250 at Iowa Speedway driving for JR Motorsports.
Where was the 2009 U.S. Cellular 250 held?
The 2009 U.S. Cellular 250 was held at Iowa Speedway on January 1, 2009.