Bank of America 400
Charlotte Motor SpeedwayYour watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Tyler Reddick has 15 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 1 win and a 7.7 average finish.
- Chase Elliott has 20 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 3 wins and a 13.1 average finish.
- Denny Hamlin has 39 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 11.8 average finish.
Based on Cup Series results at Charlotte Motor Speedway from 1949-2026.
Bobby Allison has won 7 times at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 12.7 average finish.
See Bobby Allison's full statsThe last Cup race at Charlotte Motor Speedway was the 2025 Coca-Cola 600 (chaos score: 75.0).
Track historyThe narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the Bank of America 400 on?
The Bank of America 400 airs on USA on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, broadcast from Charlotte Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.
What time does the NASCAR Cup race start today?
The Bank of America 400 green flag is set for 3:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 11, 2026, airing on USA. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 1624 | P16 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 1617 | P6 |
| 3 | Tyler Reddick | 1597 | P12 |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 1591 | P15 |
| 5 | Chase Briscoe | 1579 | P3 |
| 6 | Brad Keselowski | 1570 | P5 |
| 7 | William Byron | 1561 | P2 |
| 8 | Ryan Preece | 1544 | P9 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 1543 | P35 |
| 10 | Christopher Bell | 1539 | P8 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Reddick Best in Field | 6.2 | 18.2% |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 17.8% |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 16.3% |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15.4% |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 12.7% |
| 6 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 10.9% |
| 7 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 9.6% |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8.4% |
| 9 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 7.6% |
| 10 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 6.4% |
| 11 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 5.2% |
| 12 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 5.1% |
| 13 | Carson Hocevar | 13.1 | 4.3% |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 3.8% |
| 15 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 3.3% |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 3.1% |
| 17 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 3.0% |
| 18 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 2.7% |
| 19 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 2.2% |
| 20 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 1.7% |
| 21 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 1.4% |
| 22 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 1.2% |
| 23 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1.1% |
| 24 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 0.9% |
| 25 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 0.7% |
| 26 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 0.5% |
| 27 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 28 | Zane Smith | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 29 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 0.4% |
| 30 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 31 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 0.2% |
| 32 | Connor Zilisch | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 33 | Katherine Legge | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 34 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 35 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 36 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 37 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 0.1% |
| 38 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 0.0% |
| 39 | Cody Ware | 56.1 | 0.0% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24
(1/5 top-5 hits)
38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races
History at Charlotte Motor Speedway
Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (21 races)
Recent Results
| Year | Race | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Coca-Cola 600 | Ross Chastain |
| 2024 | Coca-Cola 600 | Christopher Bell |
| 2023 | Coca-Cola 600 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2022 | Coca-Cola 600 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2021 | Coca-Cola 600 | Kyle Larson |
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1058 |
| Kyle Busch | 749 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 550 |
| William Byron | 485 |
| Kyle Larson | 433 |
Track Type Tendencies
Intermediate tracks like Charlotte Motor Speedway reward the complete package — car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.
Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
50%+ top-5 rate at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership