NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Race at Richmond
Richmond RacewayYour watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin has 27 starts at Richmond Raceway with 3 wins and a 9.8 average finish.
- Ryan Blaney has 16 starts at Richmond Raceway with a 17.3 average finish.
- Chase Elliott has 16 starts at Richmond Raceway with a 12.5 average finish.
Based on Truck Series results at Richmond Raceway from 1995-2026.
David Pearson has won 6 times at Richmond Raceway with a 7.6 average finish.
See David Pearson's full statsChandler Smith won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway.
See Chandler Smith's resultsThe narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Race at Richmond on?
The NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Race at Richmond airs on FS1 on Friday, August 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, broadcast from Richmond Raceway. Every 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race airs on FS1, available through cable, satellite, and live-TV streaming services like YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, and fuboTV.
What time does the NASCAR Craftsman Truck race start today?
The NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Race at Richmond green flag is set for 7:30 PM ET on Friday, August 14, 2026, airing on FS1. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 1656 | P6 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 1648 | P3 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 1623 | P10 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 1594 | P21 |
| 5 | Joey Logano | 1577 | P4 |
| 6 | Chase Elliott | 1575 | P38 |
| 7 | William Byron | 1550 | P12 |
| 8 | Ty Gibbs | 1544 | P18 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 1539 | P19 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 1536 | P9 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin Best in Field | 6.8 | 18.6% |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 17.5% |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 16.2% |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 13.2% |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 13.2% |
| 6 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 11.5% |
| 7 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 9.5% |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.3 | 8.2% |
| 9 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 7.0% |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 5.5% |
| 11 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 4.9% |
| 12 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 4.3% |
| 13 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 3.5% |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 3.4% |
| 15 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 2.7% |
| 16 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 2.7% |
| 17 | Carson Hocevar | 14.7 | 2.4% |
| 18 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 2.1% |
| 19 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 1.7% |
| 20 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 1.3% |
| 21 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 0.8% |
| 22 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 0.8% |
| 23 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 0.7% |
| 24 | Casey Mears | 18.0 | 0.6% |
| 25 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 0.5% |
| 26 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 0.4% |
| 27 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 0.4% |
| 28 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 0.3% |
| 29 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 0.3% |
| 30 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 0.3% |
| 31 | Katherine Legge | 20.3 | 0.2% |
| 32 | Connor Zilisch | 21.2 | 0.2% |
| 33 | Zane Smith | 20.2 | 0.2% |
| 34 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 0.1% |
| 35 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 0.1% |
| 36 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 0.1% |
| 37 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 0.1% |
| 38 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 0.0% |
| 39 | Cody Ware | 29.8 | 0.0% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24
(1/5 top-5 hits)
38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races
History at Richmond Raceway
Truck Series data from 1995-2026 (6 races)
Recent Results
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Ty Majeski | 454 |
| Chandler Smith | 200 |
| Grant Enfinger | 187 |
| John Hunter Nemechek | 115 |
| Corey Heim | 90 |
Track Type Tendencies
Richmond Raceway is a short track where driver skill and aggression take center stage. Passing requires contact, tempers run hot, and strategy around restarts and pit timing can make or break a race.
Short tracks historically produce the most lead changes and the closest finishes.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
50%+ top-5 rate at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership