Hefty OdorBlock 200

Phoenix Raceway — January 1, 2008

Carl Edwards
Winner
201
Laps
43
Entries
6
Leaders

Carl Edwards won the 2008 Hefty OdorBlock 200 at Phoenix Raceway on January 1, 2008, leading 78 of 201 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Tuesday, January 1, 2008
Season
2008
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Carl Edwards
2 1 -1 Denny Hamlin
3 4 +1 Kevin Harvick
4 12 +8 Clint Bowyer
5 3 -2 Kyle Busch
6 42 +36 Landon Cassill
7 6 -1 Jamie McMurray
8 5 -3 Mike Bliss
9 22 +13 Mike Wallace
10 15 +5 Joey Logano
11 20 +9 Justin Allgaier
12 28 +16 A.J. Allmendinger
13 23 +10 Jason Keller
14 8 -6 David Ragan
15 14 -1 Kenny Wallace
16 24 +8 Bryan Clauson
17 17 Kelly Bires
18 19 +1 Bobby Hamilton Jr.
19 11 -8 Scott Wimmer
20 7 -13 Scott Lagasse Jr.
21 16 -5 Brad Keselowski
22 30 +8 D.J. Kennington
23 10 -13 Josh Wise
24 29 +5 Marcos Ambrose
25 21 -4 Jason Leffler
26 43 +17 Stanton Barrett
27 37 +10 Marc Davis
28 35 +7 Johnny Borneman III
29 36 +7 Patrick Sheltra
30 38 +8 Brandon Whitt
31 26 -5 David Reutimann
32 39 +7 Eric McClure
33 13 -20 Steve Wallace
34 34 Brian Ickler
35 9 -26 David Stremme
36 41 +5 Larry Gunselman
37 25 -12 Burney Lamar
38 33 -5 John Wes Townley
39 40 +1 Scott Gaylord
40 18 -22 Terry Cook
41 27 -14 Justin Hobgood
42 31 -11 Kertus Davis
43 32 -11 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Denny Hamlin 6.8 2 +4.8
5 Kyle Busch 15.6 5 +10.6
10 Joey Logano 12.1 10 +2.1
11 Justin Allgaier 17.7 11 +6.7
12 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 12 +6.3
21 Brad Keselowski 12.0 21 -9.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Carl Edwards: has 13 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 6.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 29 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 11.5 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.
  • Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P16. Track history: 34 starts, 7.1 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2008 Hefty OdorBlock 200?
Carl Edwards won the 2008 Hefty OdorBlock 200 at Phoenix Raceway driving for Roush Fenway Racing.
Where was the 2008 Hefty OdorBlock 200 held?
The 2008 Hefty OdorBlock 200 was held at Phoenix Raceway on January 1, 2008.