Bashas' Supermarkets 200

Phoenix Raceway — January 1, 2009

Greg Biffle
Winner
203
Laps
43
Entries
5
Leaders

Greg Biffle won the 2009 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 at Phoenix Raceway on January 1, 2009, leading 106 of 203 laps. Jason Leffler finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 4 +3 Greg Biffle
2 8 +6 Jason Leffler
3 7 +4 Brad Keselowski
4 2 -2 Joey Logano
5 6 +1 Kevin Harvick
6 12 +6 David Ragan
7 14 +7 Brendan Gaughan
8 42 +34 Justin Allgaier
9 10 +1 Mike Bliss
10 5 -5 Kyle Busch
11 27 +16 Michael McDowell
12 41 +29 Steve Wallace
13 16 +3 Burney Lamar
14 3 -11 Paul Menard
15 23 +8 Brian Scott
16 29 +13 Michael Annett
17 17 Jason Keller
18 34 +16 David Green
19 15 -4 Scott Wimmer
20 11 -9 Jeff Burton
21 21 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
22 18 -4 Eric McClure
23 30 +7 D.J. Kennington
24 36 +12 Tony Raines
25 20 -5 Joe Nemechek
26 38 +12 Brandon Whitt
27 43 +16 Brian Keselowski
28 40 +12 Ken Butler III
29 28 -1 Kenny Wallace
30 26 -4 Johnny Borneman III
31 24 -7 Casey Atwood
32 22 -10 Scott Lagasse Jr.
33 1 -32 Carl Edwards
34 35 +1 Austin Dillon
35 39 +4 Morgan Shepherd
36 32 -4 John Wes Townley
37 25 -12 Daryl Harr
38 33 -5 Mark Green
39 19 -20 Kertus Davis
40 9 -31 Michael Waltrip
41 37 -4 Kevin Hamlin
42 13 -29 Terry Cook
43 31 -12 Dave Blaney
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
3 Brad Keselowski 12.0 3 +9.0
4 Joey Logano 12.1 4 +8.1
8 Justin Allgaier 17.7 8 +9.7
10 Kyle Busch 15.6 10 +5.6
11 Michael McDowell 15.0 11 +4.0
34 Austin Dillon 17.0 34 -17.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Greg Biffle: has 17 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 10.4 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 14.8 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Bashas' Supermarkets 200?
Greg Biffle won the 2009 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 at Phoenix Raceway driving for Roush Fenway Racing.
Where was the 2009 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 held?
The 2009 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 was held at Phoenix Raceway on January 1, 2009.