Bashas' Supermarkets 200

Phoenix Raceway, January 1, 2009

Greg Biffle

Winner

203

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Greg Biffle won the 2009 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 at Phoenix Raceway on January 1, 2009, leading 106 of 203 laps. Jason Leffler finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Track

Phoenix Raceway

Season

2009

Winner

Greg Biffle

Leaders

5 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	4	+3	Greg Biffle	Roush Fenway Racing		203	—	Running	106	195
2	8	+6	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		203	—	Running	—	170
3	7	+4	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		203	—	Running	—	165
4	2	-2	Joey Logano	Joe Gibbs Racing		203	—	Running	6	165
5	6	+1	Kevin Harvick	Kevin Harvick Inc.		203	—	Running	—	155
6	12	+6	David Ragan	Roush Fenway Racing		203	—	Running	—	150
7	14	+7	Brendan Gaughan	Rusty Wallace Racing		203	—	Running	—	146
8	42	+34	Justin Allgaier	Penske Racing	Dodge	203	—	Running	—	142
9	10	+1	Mike Bliss	Phoenix Racing		203	—	Running	—	138
10	5	-5	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing		203	—	Running	8	139
11	27	+16	Michael McDowell	JTG Daugherty Racing		203	—	Running	—	130
12	41	+29	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing		203	—	Running	—	127
13	16	+3	Burney Lamar	Braun Racing		203	—	Running	—	124
14	3	-11	Paul Menard	Yates Racing		203	—	Running	—	121
15	23	+8	Brian Scott	Braun Racing		203	—	Running	—	118
16	29	+13	Michael Annett	Germain Racing		203	—	Running	—	115
17	17	—	Jason Keller	Baker Curb Racing		203	—	Running	—	112
18	34	+16	David Green	Fitz Motorsports		203	—	Running	—	109
19	15	-4	Scott Wimmer	Key Motorsports		202	—	Running	—	106
20	11	-9	Jeff Burton	Richard Childress Racing		201	—	Running	—	103
21	21	—	Danny O'Quinn Jr.	JD Motorsports		201	—	Running	—	100
22	18	-4	Eric McClure	Team Rensi Motorsports		201	—	Running	—	97
23	30	+7	D.J. Kennington	MacDonald Motorsports	Dodge	201	—	Running	—	94
24	36	+12	Tony Raines	Front Row Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	91
25	20	-5	Joe Nemechek	NEMCO Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	88
26	38	+12	Brandon Whitt	Specialty Racing		200	—	Running	—	85
27	43	+16	Brian Keselowski	Whitney Motorsports	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	82
28	40	+12	Ken Butler III	R3 Motorsports		199	—	Running	—	79
29	28	-1	Kenny Wallace	Jay Robinson Racing		194	—	Running	—	76
30	26	-4	Johnny Borneman III	Borneman Motorsports		184	—	Running	—	73
31	24	-7	Casey Atwood	Day Enterprises		181	—	DNF - Crash	—	70
32	22	-10	Scott Lagasse Jr.	CJM Racing		180	—	DNF - Crash	—	67
33	1	-32	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		178	—	Running	79	69
34	35	+1	Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing		173	—	Running	—	61
35	39	+4	Morgan Shepherd	Faith Motorsports (Shepherd)		169	—	Running	—	58
36	32	-4	John Wes Townley	Jay Robinson Racing		163	—	DNF - Crash	—	55
37	25	-12	Daryl Harr	Stanton Barrett Racing		142	—	DNF - Engine	—	52
38	33	-5	Mark Green	JD Motorsports		58	—	DNF	—	49
39	19	-20	Kertus Davis	Jay Robinson Racing		46	—	DNF	—	46
40	9	-31	Michael Waltrip	Michael Waltrip Racing		29	—	DNF - Crash	4	48
41	37	-4	Kevin Hamlin	Means Motorsports		21	—	DNF - Crash	—	40
42	13	-29	Terry Cook	MSRP Motorsports		7	—	DNF	—	37
43	31	-12	Dave Blaney	MSRP Motorsports		4	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
3	Brad Keselowski	13.8	3	+10.8	Coinflip
4	Joey Logano	10.3	4	+6.3	Moderate
8	Justin Allgaier	18.0	8	+10.0	Coinflip
11	Michael McDowell	15.6	11	+4.6	Coinflip
34	Austin Dillon	17.7	34	-16.3	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Greg Biffle: has 16 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 8.8 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Joey Logano: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 12.5 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
Brad Keselowski: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P14. Track history: 28 starts, 14.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Bashas' Supermarkets 200?

Greg Biffle won the 2009 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 at Phoenix Raceway driving for Roush Fenway Racing.

Where was the 2009 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 held?

The 2009 Bashas' Supermarkets 200 was held at Phoenix Raceway on January 1, 2009.