CARQUEST Auto Parts 300

Charlotte Motor Speedway — January 1, 2009

Mike Bliss
Winner
170
Laps
43
Entries
7
Leaders

Mike Bliss won the 2009 CARQUEST Auto Parts 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 21 of 170 laps. Brendan Gaughan finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 10 +9 Mike Bliss
2 15 +13 Brendan Gaughan
3 2 -1 Kyle Busch
4 5 +1 Brian Vickers
5 12 +7 Joey Logano
6 28 +22 Jason Leffler
7 4 -3 David Ragan
8 40 +32 Brad Keselowski
9 9 Jeff Burton
10 1 -9 Carl Edwards
11 14 +3 Scott Speed
12 3 -9 Greg Biffle
13 13 Dale Earnhardt Jr.
14 38 +24 Justin Allgaier
15 7 -8 David Gilliland
16 22 +6 Jason Keller
17 17 Steve Wallace
18 27 +9 Kenny Wallace
19 29 +10 Eric McClure
20 6 -14 Michael McDowell
21 20 -1 Paul Menard
22 41 +19 Burney Lamar
23 8 -15 Kevin Harvick
24 30 +6 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
25 11 -14 Stanton Barrett
26 36 +10 Tony Raines
27 26 -1 Jeremy Clements
28 25 -3 Scott Wimmer
29 32 +3 Brandon Whitt
30 39 +9 Brian Keselowski
31 16 -15 Peyton Sellers
32 23 -9 Scott Lagasse Jr.
33 37 +4 Robert Richardson Jr.
34 43 +9 Derrike Cope
35 21 -14 Kevin Hamlin
36 35 -1 Joe Nemechek
37 31 -6 J.C. Stout
38 33 -5 Dennis Setzer
39 24 -15 Michael Annett
40 18 -22 Terry Cook
41 19 -22 Mark Green
42 34 -8 Johnny Chapman
43 42 -1 Donny Lia
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
3 Kyle Busch 17.0 3 +14.0
5 Joey Logano 14.7 5 +9.7
8 Brad Keselowski 11.2 8 +3.2
14 Justin Allgaier 18.3 14 +4.3
20 Michael McDowell 17.0 20 -3.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Mike Bliss: has 24 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 20.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 45 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
  • Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 68 starts, 8.4 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 CARQUEST Auto Parts 300?
Mike Bliss won the 2009 CARQUEST Auto Parts 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Phoenix Racing.
Where was the 2009 CARQUEST Auto Parts 300 held?
The 2009 CARQUEST Auto Parts 300 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009.