CARQUEST Auto Parts 300
Charlotte Motor Speedway — January 1, 2009
Mike Bliss
Winner
170
Laps
43
Entries
7
Leaders
Mike Bliss won the 2009 CARQUEST Auto Parts 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 21 of 170 laps. Brendan Gaughan finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Track
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 5 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 5 | +9.7 |
| 8 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 8 | +3.2 |
| 14 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 14 | +4.3 |
| 20 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 20 | -3.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Mike Bliss: has 24 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 20.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 45 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 68 starts, 8.4 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2009 CARQUEST Auto Parts 300?
Mike Bliss won the 2009 CARQUEST Auto Parts 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Phoenix Racing.
Where was the 2009 CARQUEST Auto Parts 300 held?
The 2009 CARQUEST Auto Parts 300 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009.