Dollar General 300

Charlotte Motor Speedway — January 1, 2009

Kyle Busch

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2009 Dollar General 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 137 of 200 laps. Mike Bliss finished second; Dave Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Track

Charlotte Motor Speedway

Season

2009

Winner

Kyle Busch

Leaders

8 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	5	+4	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing		200	—	Running	137	195
2	11	+9	Mike Bliss	CJM Racing		200	—	Running	—	170
3	12	+9	Dave Blaney	NEMCO Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	165
4	9	+5	Brian Vickers	Braun Racing		200	—	Running	8	165
5	1	-4	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		200	—	Running	—	155
6	29	+23	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	150
7	15	+8	Ryan Newman	Kevin Harvick Inc.		200	—	Running	—	146
8	16	+8	Kasey Kahne	Baker Curb Racing		200	—	Running	1	147
9	25	+16	Jeff Burton	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	24	143
10	35	+25	Tony Raines	Front Row Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	134
11	22	+11	Tony Stewart	JR Motorsports		200	—	Running	1	135
12	3	-9	Justin Allgaier	Penske Racing	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	127
13	31	+18	Michael Annett	Germain Racing		200	—	Running	—	124
14	10	-4	Joey Logano	Joe Gibbs Racing		199	—	Running	4	126
15	30	+15	Brendan Gaughan	Rusty Wallace Racing		199	—	Running	—	118
16	8	-8	Reed Sorenson	Braun Racing		199	—	Running	—	115
17	19	+2	Jason Keller	Baker Curb Racing		199	—	Running	—	112
18	39	+21	Eric McClure	Team Rensi Motorsports		199	—	Running	—	109
19	4	-15	David Gilliland	Phoenix Racing		198	—	Running	—	106
20	13	-7	David Reutimann	Michael Waltrip Racing		198	—	Running	—	103
21	14	-7	Kenny Wallace	Jay Robinson Racing		198	—	Running	1	105
22	20	-2	Jeremy Clements	JD Motorsports		198	—	Running	—	97
23	28	+5	Michael McDowell	K-Automotive Motorsports	Dodge	198	—	Running	—	94
24	32	+8	Kevin Conway	R3 Motorsports		197	—	Running	—	91
25	40	+15	Scott Wimmer	Key Motorsports		197	—	Running	—	88
26	26	—	Tim Andrews	Stanton Barrett Racing		195	—	Running	—	85
27	43	+16	Aric Almirola	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	194	—	Running	—	82
28	27	-1	John Wes Townley	Jay Robinson Racing		179	—	Running	—	79
29	42	+13	Matt Carter	Specialty Racing		163	—	Running	—	76
30	38	+8	Mike Wallace	JD Motorsports		114	—	DNF	—	73
31	34	+3	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing		79	—	DNF - Crash	—	70
32	33	+1	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		70	—	DNF - Crash	—	67
33	2	-31	Matt Kenseth	Roush Fenway Racing		69	—	DNF - Crash	24	69
34	6	-28	Erik Darnell	Roush Fenway Racing		68	—	DNF - Crash	—	61
35	37	+2	Ken Butler III	R3 Motorsports		68	—	DNF - Crash	—	58
36	41	+5	Kevin Hamlin	MacDonald Motorsports		62	—	DNF - Crash	—	55
37	21	-16	Danny O'Quinn Jr.	Fitz Motorsports		52	—	DNF	—	52
38	17	-21	Mark Green	Jay Robinson Racing		50	—	DNF	—	49
39	23	-16	Andy Ponstein	Corrie Stott Racing		27	—	DNF	—	0
40	7	-33	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Roush Fenway Racing		12	—	DNF - Crash	—	43
41	36	-5	Chase Miller	JTG Daugherty Racing		4	—	DNF	—	40
42	18	-24	Dennis Setzer	K-Automotive Motorsports	Dodge	3	—	DNF	—	37
43	24	-19	Johnny Chapman	MSRP Motorsports		3	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Kyle Busch	17.0	1	+16.0	Coinflip
6	Brad Keselowski	11.2	6	+5.2	Moderate
12	Justin Allgaier	18.3	12	+6.3	Coinflip
14	Joey Logano	14.7	14	+0.7	Coinflip
23	Michael McDowell	17.0	23	-6.0	Coinflip
40	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	19.9	40	-20.1	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kyle Busch: has 68 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 8.4 avg finish (17 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 45 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P6 on the day.

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Track

Charlotte Motor Speedway

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Dollar General 300?

Kyle Busch won the 2009 Dollar General 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.

Where was the 2009 Dollar General 300 held?

The 2009 Dollar General 300 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009.