Kansas Lottery 300
Kansas Speedway — January 1, 2009
Joey Logano
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
6
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2009 Kansas Lottery 300 at Kansas Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 4 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Track
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 14.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 1 | +13.7 |
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 3 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 3 | +8.2 |
| 6 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 6 | +12.3 |
| 39 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 39 | -22.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 41 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 15.4 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 43 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P3 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 54 starts, 13.1 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2009 Kansas Lottery 300?
Joey Logano won the 2009 Kansas Lottery 300 at Kansas Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2009 Kansas Lottery 300 held?
The 2009 Kansas Lottery 300 was held at Kansas Speedway on January 1, 2009.