Kansas Lottery 300

Kansas Speedway — January 1, 2009

Joey Logano
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
6
Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2009 Kansas Lottery 300 at Kansas Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 4 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 7 +6 Joey Logano
2 2 Kyle Busch
3 19 +16 Brad Keselowski
4 14 +10 Kevin Harvick
5 3 -2 Greg Biffle
6 18 +12 Justin Allgaier
7 5 -2 Carl Edwards
8 11 +3 Scott Speed
9 34 +25 Clint Bowyer
10 13 +3 Reed Sorenson
11 10 -1 Jason Leffler
12 15 +3 Scott Wimmer
13 26 +13 Jason Keller
14 8 -6 Brian Scott
15 27 +12 Steve Wallace
16 1 -15 Parker Kligerman
17 22 +5 Mike Wallace
18 12 -6 Erik Darnell
19 6 -13 David Gilliland
20 37 +17 Kenny Wallace
21 36 +15 Mike Bliss
22 31 +9 Robert Richardson Jr.
23 40 +17 Tony Raines
24 41 +17 Kevin Conway
25 42 +17 Eric McClure
26 29 +3 Shelby Howard
27 39 +12 Matt Carter
28 4 -24 Brian Vickers
29 17 -12 Brendan Gaughan
30 9 -21 Michael Annett
31 16 -15 John Wes Townley
32 23 -9 Jeremy Clements
33 32 -1 Peyton Sellers
34 35 +1 Jarit Johnson
35 25 -10 Joe Nemechek
36 43 +7 Casey Atwood
37 38 +1 Patrick Sheltra
38 33 -5 Mark Green
39 21 -18 Michael McDowell
40 28 -12 Kevin Lepage
41 30 -11 Terry Cook
42 24 -18 Johnny Chapman
43 20 -23 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 14.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Joey Logano 14.7 1 +13.7
2 Kyle Busch 17.0 2 +15.0
3 Brad Keselowski 11.2 3 +8.2
6 Justin Allgaier 18.3 6 +12.3
39 Michael McDowell 17.0 39 -22.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Joey Logano: has 41 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 15.4 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 43 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P3 on the day.
  • Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 54 starts, 13.1 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Kansas Lottery 300?
Joey Logano won the 2009 Kansas Lottery 300 at Kansas Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2009 Kansas Lottery 300 held?
The 2009 Kansas Lottery 300 was held at Kansas Speedway on January 1, 2009.