Nashville 300

Nashville Superspeedway — January 1, 2009

Joey Logano

Winner

225

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2009 Nashville 300 at Nashville Superspeedway on January 1, 2009, leading 95 of 225 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Track

Nashville Superspeedway

Season

2009

Winner

Joey Logano

Leaders

5 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	2	+1	Joey Logano	Joe Gibbs Racing		225	—	Running	95	195
2	4	+2	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing		225	—	Running	77	175
3	19	+16	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		225	—	Running	—	165
4	10	+6	Kelly Bires	Kevin Harvick Inc.		225	—	Running	—	160
5	1	-4	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		225	—	Running	45	160
6	21	+15	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		225	—	Running	—	150
7	8	+1	David Ragan	Roush Fenway Racing		225	—	Running	—	146
8	7	-1	Mike Bliss	Phoenix Racing		225	—	Running	—	142
9	6	-3	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing		225	—	Running	—	138
10	38	+28	Scott Lagasse Jr.	CJM Racing		225	—	Running	—	134
11	16	+5	Stephen Leicht	Richard Childress Racing		225	—	Running	—	130
12	15	+3	Jason Keller	Baker Curb Racing		225	—	Running	—	127
13	17	+4	Burney Lamar	Braun Racing		225	—	Running	—	124
14	35	+21	Shelby Howard	ML Motorsports		225	—	Running	—	121
15	3	-12	Michael McDowell	JTG Daugherty Racing		225	—	Running	7	123
16	12	-4	Michael Waltrip	Michael Waltrip Racing		225	—	Running	—	115
17	14	-3	Brendan Gaughan	Rusty Wallace Racing		225	—	Running	—	112
18	18	—	John Wes Townley	Jay Robinson Racing		225	—	Running	—	109
19	13	-6	Michael Annett	Germain Racing		225	—	Running	1	111
20	34	+14	Dennis Setzer	Whitney Motorsports	Dodge	224	—	Running	—	103
21	36	+15	Jeff Green	MacDonald Motorsports	Dodge	224	—	Running	—	100
22	23	+1	Casey Atwood	Day Enterprises		224	—	Running	—	97
23	5	-18	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Roush Fenway Racing		224	—	Running	—	94
24	37	+13	Kenny Wallace	Jay Robinson Racing		223	—	Running	—	91
25	24	-1	Brian Scott	Braun Racing		223	—	Running	—	88
26	31	+5	Eric McClure	Team Rensi Motorsports		223	—	Running	—	85
27	32	+5	Tony Raines	Front Row Motorsports		223	—	Running	—	82
28	29	+1	Scott Wimmer	Key Motorsports		222	—	Running	—	79
29	9	-20	Justin Allgaier	Penske Racing	Dodge	222	—	Running	—	76
30	41	+11	Brandon Whitt	Specialty Racing		222	—	Running	—	73
31	39	+8	Morgan Shepherd	Faith Motorsports (Shepherd)		221	—	Running	—	70
32	22	-10	Danny O'Quinn Jr.	JD Motorsports		221	—	Running	—	67
33	27	-6	Tim Andrews	Stanton Barrett Racing		220	—	Running	—	64
34	26	-8	Joe Nemechek	NEMCO Motorsports		218	—	DNF - Crash	—	61
35	40	+5	Kenny Hendrick	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	194	—	DNF - Engine	—	58
36	43	+7	Benny Gordon	VSI Racing		157	—	DNF	—	55
37	30	-7	Ken Butler III	R3 Motorsports		145	—	DNF - Crash	—	52
38	42	+4	David Green	Fitz Motorsports		144	—	DNF - Crash	—	49
39	28	-11	Jeremy Clements	Clements Racing		132	—	DNF	—	46
40	20	-20	Kertus Davis	Jay Robinson Racing		46	—	DNF	—	43
41	33	-8	Brian Keselowski	K-Automotive Motorsports	Dodge	32	—	DNF	—	40
42	11	-31	Terry Cook	MSRP Motorsports		20	—	DNF	—	37
43	25	-18	Johnny Chapman	MSRP Motorsports		15	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.8 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Joey Logano	14.7	1	+13.7	Coinflip
2	Kyle Busch	17.0	2	+15.0	Coinflip
3	Brad Keselowski	11.2	3	+8.2	Moderate
15	Michael McDowell	17.0	15	+2.0	Coinflip
23	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	19.9	23	-3.1	Moderate
29	Justin Allgaier	18.3	29	-10.7	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Joey Logano: has 7 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 10.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 17.0 avg finish (1 win), finishing P3 on the day.
Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 17 starts, 13.3 avg finish.

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Track

Nashville Superspeedway

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Nashville 300?

Joey Logano won the 2009 Nashville 300 at Nashville Superspeedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.

Where was the 2009 Nashville 300 held?

The 2009 Nashville 300 was held at Nashville Superspeedway on January 1, 2009.