American Ethanol 200

Iowa Speedway — July 11, 2014

Erik Jones
Winner
200
Laps
36
Entries
4
Leaders

Erik Jones won the 2014 American Ethanol 200 at Iowa Speedway on July 11, 2014, leading 131 of 200 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Matt Crafton rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, July 11, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Erik Jones
2 4 +2 Ryan Blaney
3 6 +3 Matt Crafton
4 9 +5 Joey Coulter
5 10 +5 German Quiroga
6 19 +13 Ben Kennedy
7 12 +5 Jeff Choquette
8 5 -3 Cole Custer
9 16 +7 Tyler Reddick
10 14 +4 John Hunter Nemechek
11 21 +10 Spencer Gallagher
12 17 +5 Chase Pistone
13 1 -12 Bubba Wallace
14 13 -1 Jeb Burton
15 25 +10 Justin Jennings
16 23 +7 Mason Mingus
17 15 -2 Tyler Young
18 18 Johnny Sauter
19 24 +5 Chris Eggleston
20 7 -13 Justin Lofton
21 8 -13 Ron Hornaday Jr.
22 20 -2 John Wes Townley
23 22 -1 Tayler Malsam
24 26 +2 T.J. Bell
25 27 +2 Brandon Brown
26 31 +5 Norm Benning
27 33 +6 Dustin Hapka
28 34 +6 Eric Caudell
29 11 -18 Bryan Silas
30 30 Jennifer Jo Cobb
31 3 -28 Timothy Peters
32 35 +3 Raymond Terczak Jr.
33 29 -4 Korbin Forrister
34 32 -2 Charles Lewandoski
35 36 +1 Caleb Roark
36 28 -8 Tommy Regan
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.3 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Erik Jones 16.7 1 +15.7
2 Ryan Blaney 9.2 2 +7.2
8 Cole Custer 22.9 8 +14.9
9 Tyler Reddick 6.2 9 -2.8
10 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 10 +9.1
13 Bubba Wallace 12.7 13 -0.3

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Erik Jones: has 9 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 7.4 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 12.5 avg finish, finishing P9 on the day.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 American Ethanol 200?
Erik Jones won the 2014 American Ethanol 200 at Iowa Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2014 American Ethanol 200 held?
The 2014 American Ethanol 200 was held at Iowa Speedway on July 11, 2014.