Kroger 200
Martinsville Speedway — October 25, 2014
Bubba Wallace
Winner
200
Laps
36
Entries
5
Leaders
Bubba Wallace won the 2014 Kroger 200 at Martinsville Speedway on October 25, 2014, leading 97 of 200 laps. Timothy Peters finished second; Matt Crafton rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 25, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 2 | 2 | — | Timothy Peters |
| 3 | 3 | — | Matt Crafton |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | Erik Jones |
| 5 | 5 | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 10 | +4 | Tyler Reddick |
| 7 | 7 | — | Johnny Sauter |
| 8 | 20 | +12 | Matt Tifft |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Alex Guenette |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | German Quiroga |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Caleb Holman |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Jeb Burton |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 14 | 6 | -8 | Gray Gaulding |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Mason Mingus |
| 16 | 13 | -3 | Ben Kennedy |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Peyton Sellers |
| 18 | 21 | +3 | Brennan Newberry |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Tyler Young |
| 20 | 32 | +12 | Enrique Contreras III |
| 21 | 29 | +8 | Camden Murphy |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | Max Gresham |
| 23 | 33 | +10 | Cody Erickson |
| 24 | 27 | +3 | Brandon Brown |
| 25 | 34 | +9 | Norm Benning |
| 26 | 19 | -7 | Austin Hill |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | Wendell Chavous |
| 28 | 35 | +7 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 29 | 4 | -25 | Cole Custer |
| 30 | 11 | -19 | Joey Coulter |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Bryan Silas |
| 32 | 16 | -16 | Brandon Jones |
| 33 | 18 | -15 | John Wes Townley |
| 34 | 31 | -3 | Jody Knowles |
| 35 | 30 | -5 | Justin Jennings |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | T.J. Bell |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 1 | +13.0 |
| 4 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 4 | +13.7 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 6 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 6 | +3.9 |
| 13 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 13 | +7.1 |
| 26 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 26 | -5.8 |
| 29 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 29 | -6.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Bubba Wallace: has 22 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 14.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P18. Track history: 18 starts, 16.0 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 Kroger 200?
Bubba Wallace won the 2014 Kroger 200 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2014 Kroger 200 held?
The 2014 Kroger 200 was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 25, 2014.