North Carolina Education Lottery 200
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 16, 2014
Kyle Busch
Winner
134
Laps
33
Entries
2
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2014 North Carolina Education Lottery 200 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 16, 2014, leading 130 of 134 laps. Matt Crafton finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 2 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, May 16, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
2 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 2 | — | Matt Crafton |
| 3 | 3 | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | John Wes Townley |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Timothy Peters |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Johnny Sauter |
| 7 | 13 | +6 | Austin Dillon |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Ben Kennedy |
| 9 | 20 | +11 | German Quiroga |
| 10 | 14 | +4 | Justin Lofton |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Joe Nemechek |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Joey Coulter |
| 13 | 26 | +13 | Bryan Silas |
| 14 | 25 | +11 | Jimmy Weller III |
| 15 | 8 | -7 | Jeb Burton |
| 16 | 30 | +14 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 17 | 33 | +16 | Norm Benning |
| 18 | 27 | +9 | T.J. Bell |
| 19 | 4 | -15 | Ron Hornaday Jr. |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Mason Mingus |
| 21 | 21 | — | Jake Crum |
| 22 | 10 | -12 | Ryan Blaney |
| 23 | 5 | -18 | Brian Ickler |
| 24 | 18 | -6 | Scott Riggs |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | Tayler Malsam |
| 26 | 11 | -15 | Bubba Wallace |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Ryan Ellis |
| 28 | 23 | -5 | Tyler Young |
| 29 | 31 | +2 | Justin Jennings |
| 30 | 24 | -6 | Blake Koch |
| 31 | 12 | -19 | Max Gresham |
| 32 | 32 | — | Willie Allen |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Charles Lewandoski |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 3 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 3 | +8.2 |
| 7 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 7 | +10.1 |
| 22 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 22 | -12.8 |
| 26 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 26 | -13.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 68 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 8.4 avg finish (17 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 16.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P22 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 North Carolina Education Lottery 200?
Kyle Busch won the 2014 North Carolina Education Lottery 200 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2014 North Carolina Education Lottery 200 held?
The 2014 North Carolina Education Lottery 200 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 16, 2014.