Pocono Mountains 150

Pocono Raceway — January 1, 2015

Kyle Busch
Winner
69
Laps
32
Entries
4
Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2015 Pocono Mountains 150 at Pocono Raceway on January 1, 2015, leading 53 of 69 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Tyler Reddick rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2015
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Kyle Busch
2 7 +5 Kevin Harvick
3 6 +3 Tyler Reddick
4 16 +12 Cameron Hayley
5 5 Austin Dillon
6 17 +11 Johnny Sauter
7 12 +5 Timothy Peters
8 14 +6 Matt Tifft
9 15 +6 Daniel Hemric
10 1 -9 Erik Jones
11 8 -3 Ben Kennedy
12 11 -1 Mason Mingus
13 9 -4 John Hunter Nemechek
14 13 -1 Spencer Gallagher
15 20 +5 Tyler Young
16 18 +2 Garrett Smithley
17 10 -7 John Wes Townley
18 21 +3 Jordan Anderson
19 32 +13 Kyle Martel
20 25 +5 Ryan Ellis
21 23 +2 Todd Peck
22 30 +8 Norm Benning
23 19 -4 Travis Kvapil
24 31 +7 Ray Black Jr.
25 26 +1 Wendell Chavous
26 24 -2 Jennifer Jo Cobb
27 29 +2 Korbin Forrister
28 3 -25 Matt Crafton
29 22 -7 B.J. McLeod
30 4 -26 Brad Keselowski
31 28 -3 Justin Jennings
32 27 -5 Caleb Roark
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Busch 17.0 1 +16.0
3 Tyler Reddick 6.2 3 +3.2
5 Austin Dillon 17.1 5 +12.1
10 Erik Jones 16.7 10 +6.7
13 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 13 +6.1
29 B.J. McLeod 24.8 29 -4.2
30 Brad Keselowski 11.2 30 -18.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Busch: has 47 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 14.9 avg finish (8 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.8 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2015 Pocono Mountains 150?
Kyle Busch won the 2015 Pocono Mountains 150 at Pocono Raceway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2015 Pocono Mountains 150 held?
The 2015 Pocono Mountains 150 was held at Pocono Raceway on January 1, 2015.