Careers for Veterans 200, presented by Cooper Standard Foundation and Brad Keselowski's Checkered Flag Foundation
Michigan International Speedway — August 27, 2016
Brett Moffitt won the 2016 Careers for Veterans 200, presented by Cooper Standard Foundation and Brad Keselowski's Checkered Flag Foundation at Michigan International Speedway on August 27, 2016, leading 1 of 100 laps. Timothy Peters finished second; Daniel Hemric rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Brett Moffitt |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Timothy Peters |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Daniel Hemric |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | William Byron |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Cameron Hayley |
| 6 | 19 | +13 | Ben Rhodes |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Matt Crafton |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | Grant Enfinger |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Johnny Sauter |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Tyler Young |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Ben Kennedy |
| 12 | 1 | -11 | John Wes Townley |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Rico Abreu |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Jordan Anderson |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 16 | 24 | +8 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Travis Kvapil |
| 19 | 8 | -11 | Tyler Reddick |
| 20 | 10 | -10 | Cody Coughlin |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Reed Sorenson |
| 22 | 18 | -4 | Cole Custer |
| 23 | 17 | -6 | Ryan Truex |
| 24 | 5 | -19 | Christopher Bell |
| 25 | 11 | -14 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 26 | 16 | -10 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Norm Benning |
| 28 | 29 | +1 | Enrique Contreras III |
| 29 | 27 | -2 | Todd Peck |
| 30 | 30 | — | Caleb Roark |
| 31 | 31 | — | Ryan Ellis |
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | William Byron | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 19 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 19 | -12.8 |
| 22 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 22 | +0.9 |
| 23 | Ryan Truex | 15.4 | 23 | -7.6 |
| 24 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 24 | -13.3 |
| 26 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 26 | -6.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brett Moffitt: has 11 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 16.9 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 16.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P19 on the day.