fred's 250 Powered by Coca-Cola
Talladega Superspeedway, October 22, 2016
Grant Enfinger
Winner
94
Laps
32
Entries
9
Leaders
Grant Enfinger won the 2016 fred's 250 Powered by Coca-Cola at Talladega Superspeedway on October 22, 2016, leading 45 of 94 laps. Spencer Gallagher finished second; Timothy Peters rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 22, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Grant Enfinger |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Timothy Peters |
| 4 | 24 | +20 | Rico Abreu |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Ben Kennedy |
| 6 | 14 | +8 | Christopher Bell |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Johnny Sauter |
| 8 | 22 | +14 | Ryan Truex |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Matt Tifft |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | William Byron |
| 11 | 17 | +6 | Daniel Hemric |
| 12 | 27 | +15 | Dylan Lupton |
| 13 | 31 | +18 | Travis Kvapil |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 15 | 26 | +11 | Ross Chastain |
| 16 | 29 | +13 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | Bobby Gerhart |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Reed Sorenson |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Cameron Hayley |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Austin Cindric |
| 21 | 32 | +11 | Cody Ware |
| 22 | 13 | -9 | Matt Crafton |
| 23 | 18 | -5 | Chris Fontaine |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Ben Rhodes |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | Brandon Brown |
| 26 | 16 | -10 | Tyler Reddick |
| 27 | 10 | -17 | Korbin Forrister |
| 28 | 9 | -19 | John Wes Townley |
| 29 | 1 | -28 | Cole Custer |
| 30 | 30 | — | Brandon Hightower |
| 31 | 7 | -24 | Cody Coughlin |
| 32 | 11 | -21 | John Hunter Nemechek |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 15.1 | 6 | +9.1 |
| 8 | Ryan Truex | 20.5 | 8 | +12.5 |
| 10 | William Byron | 13.9 | 10 | +3.9 |
| 15 | Ross Chastain | 16.0 | 15 | +1.0 |
| 20 | Austin Cindric | 19.4 | 20 | -0.6 |
| 21 | Cody Ware | 25.5 | 21 | +4.5 |
| 26 | Tyler Reddick | 13.9 | 26 | -12.1 |
| 29 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 29 | -6.1 |
| 32 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 32 | -11.5 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Grant Enfinger: has 12 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 15.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- William Byron: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.4 avg finish, finishing P10 on the day.
- Ryan Truex: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P21. Track history: 8 starts, 21.5 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 fred's 250 Powered by Coca-Cola?
Grant Enfinger won the 2016 fred's 250 Powered by Coca-Cola at Talladega Superspeedway driving for GMS Racing.
Where was the 2016 fred's 250 Powered by Coca-Cola held?
The 2016 fred's 250 Powered by Coca-Cola was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 22, 2016.