Diamond Hill Plywood 200

Darlington Raceway — January 1, 2009

Matt Kenseth

Winner

153

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Matt Kenseth won the 2009 Diamond Hill Plywood 200 at Darlington Raceway on January 1, 2009, leading 4 of 153 laps. Jason Leffler finished second; Carl Edwards rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Track

Darlington Raceway

Season

2009

Winner

Matt Kenseth

Leaders

4 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	6	+5	Matt Kenseth	Roush Fenway Racing		153	—	Running	4	190
2	7	+5	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		153	—	Running	—	170
3	3	—	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		153	—	Running	5	170
4	5	+1	Erik Darnell	Roush Fenway Racing		153	—	Running	—	160
5	16	+11	Justin Allgaier	Penske Racing	Dodge	153	—	Running	—	155
6	2	-4	Ryan Newman	Kevin Harvick Inc.		153	—	Running	—	150
7	19	+12	Mike Bliss	Phoenix Racing		153	—	Running	—	146
8	9	+1	Jeff Burton	Richard Childress Racing		153	—	Running	—	142
9	31	+22	Scott Wimmer	JR Motorsports		153	—	Running	—	138
10	10	—	Brian Vickers	Braun Racing		153	—	Running	—	134
11	8	-3	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		153	—	Running	—	130
12	4	-8	Joey Logano	Joe Gibbs Racing		153	—	Running	—	127
13	24	+11	Scott Speed	Michael Waltrip Racing		153	—	Running	—	124
14	14	—	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing		153	—	Running	—	121
15	11	-4	Jason Keller	Baker Curb Racing		153	—	Running	—	118
16	1	-15	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing		153	—	Running	143	125
17	23	+6	Patrick Carpentier	Fitz Motorsports		153	—	Running	—	112
18	17	-1	Kenny Wallace	Jay Robinson Racing		153	—	Running	—	109
19	15	-4	Brendan Gaughan	Rusty Wallace Racing		152	—	Running	—	106
20	21	+1	Brian Scott	Braun Racing		152	—	Running	—	103
21	18	-3	Tony Raines	Front Row Motorsports		152	—	Running	1	105
22	13	-9	Scott Lagasse Jr.	CJM Racing		152	—	Running	—	97
23	32	+9	Jeff Green	Key Motorsports		151	—	Running	—	94
24	29	+5	Brian Keselowski	Whitney Motorsports	Dodge	151	—	Running	—	91
25	30	+5	Brandon Whitt	Specialty Racing		150	—	Running	—	88
26	25	-1	Kevin Hamlin	MacDonald Motorsports	Dodge	150	—	Running	—	85
27	28	+1	Danny O'Quinn Jr.	JD Motorsports		150	—	Running	—	82
28	27	-1	Eric McClure	Team Rensi Motorsports		149	—	Running	—	79
29	20	-9	Michael Annett	Germain Racing		149	—	Running	—	76
30	26	-4	Jeff Fuller	R3 Motorsports		148	—	Running	—	73
31	33	+2	Morgan Shepherd	Faith Motorsports (Shepherd)		148	—	Running	—	70
32	22	-10	Joe Nemechek	NEMCO Motorsports		142	—	DNF - Crash	—	67
33	12	-21	Michael McDowell	JTG Daugherty Racing		140	—	Running	—	64
34	35	+1	John Wes Townley	Jay Robinson Racing		117	—	DNF	—	61
35	37	+2	Kevin Lepage	Means Motorsports		57	—	DNF - Crash	—	58
36	36	—	Kenny Hendrick	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	54	—	DNF - Crash	—	55
37	43	+6	Mike Harmon	Mike Harmon Racing		36	—	DNF	—	52
38	38	—	Travis Kittleson	Stanton Barrett Racing		19	—	DNF	—	49
39	40	+1	Mark Green	JD Motorsports		17	—	DNF	—	46
40	39	-1	Kertus Davis	Jay Robinson Racing		15	—	DNF	—	43
41	41	—	Terry Cook	MSRP Motorsports		13	—	DNF	—	40
42	42	—	Johnny Chapman	MSRP Motorsports		12	—	DNF	—	37
43	34	-9	Casey Atwood	Day Enterprises		11	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
5	Justin Allgaier	18.3	5	+13.3	Coinflip
11	Brad Keselowski	11.2	11	+0.2	Moderate
12	Joey Logano	14.7	12	+2.7	Coinflip
16	Kyle Busch	17.0	16	+1.0	Coinflip
33	Michael McDowell	17.0	33	-16.0	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Matt Kenseth: has 43 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.1 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 31 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.7 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P11 on the day.
Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P18. Track history: 21 starts, 10.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Diamond Hill Plywood 200?

Matt Kenseth won the 2009 Diamond Hill Plywood 200 at Darlington Raceway driving for Roush Fenway Racing.

Where was the 2009 Diamond Hill Plywood 200 held?

The 2009 Diamond Hill Plywood 200 was held at Darlington Raceway on January 1, 2009.