Lipton Tea 250
Richmond Raceway — January 1, 2009
Kyle Busch
Winner
250
Laps
43
Entries
4
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2009 Lipton Tea 250 at Richmond Raceway on January 1, 2009, leading 115 of 250 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Matt Kenseth rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Track
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Carl Edwards |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Matt Kenseth |
| 4 | 27 | +23 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Mark Martin |
| 8 | 22 | +14 | Michael McDowell |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | Jason Keller |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Jason Leffler |
| 11 | 26 | +15 | Steve Wallace |
| 12 | 20 | +8 | Erik Darnell |
| 13 | 13 | — | Shelby Howard |
| 14 | 34 | +20 | David Green |
| 15 | 36 | +21 | Tony Raines |
| 16 | 6 | -10 | Scott Wimmer |
| 17 | 42 | +25 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 18 | 16 | -2 | Joe Nemechek |
| 19 | 12 | -7 | Peyton Sellers |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Danny O'Quinn Jr. |
| 21 | 38 | +17 | Brian Keselowski |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Derrike Cope |
| 23 | 28 | +5 | Kenny Wallace |
| 24 | 32 | +8 | D.J. Kennington |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | Casey Atwood |
| 26 | 11 | -15 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 27 | 21 | -6 | Scott Speed |
| 28 | 24 | -4 | Burney Lamar |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | Marc Davis |
| 30 | 41 | +11 | Brandon Whitt |
| 31 | 33 | +2 | Jeff Burton |
| 32 | 10 | -22 | Brian Scott |
| 33 | 2 | -31 | Mike Bliss |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Michael Annett |
| 35 | 40 | +5 | Ken Butler III |
| 36 | 37 | +1 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 37 | 15 | -22 | Benny Gordon |
| 38 | 39 | +1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 39 | 18 | -21 | Eric McClure |
| 40 | 14 | -26 | Mark Green |
| 41 | 29 | -12 | Terry Cook |
| 42 | 23 | -19 | Kertus Davis |
| 43 | 43 | — | Johnny Chapman |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 1 | +14.6 |
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 4 | +8.0 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 6 | +6.1 |
| 8 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 8 | +7.0 |
| 38 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 38 | -20.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 34 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 10.2 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 26 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 14.1 avg finish (1 win), finishing P4 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2009 Lipton Tea 250?
Kyle Busch won the 2009 Lipton Tea 250 at Richmond Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2009 Lipton Tea 250 held?
The 2009 Lipton Tea 250 was held at Richmond Raceway on January 1, 2009.