Sam's Town 300
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — January 1, 2009
Greg Biffle
Winner
209
Laps
43
Entries
12
Leaders
Greg Biffle won the 2009 Sam's Town 300 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 86 of 209 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Brian Vickers rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Track
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 14.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 6 | +11.0 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 8 | +10.3 |
| 21 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 21 | -12.8 |
| 27 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 27 | -15.8 |
| 39 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 39 | -22.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Greg Biffle: has 24 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P21 on the day.
- Michael McDowell: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P17. Track history: 23 starts, 27.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2009 Sam's Town 300?
Greg Biffle won the 2009 Sam's Town 300 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Roush Fenway Racing.
Where was the 2009 Sam's Town 300 held?
The 2009 Sam's Town 300 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009.