Scotts Turf Builder 300

Bristol Motor Speedway — January 1, 2009

Kevin Harvick

Winner

300

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kevin Harvick won the 2009 Scotts Turf Builder 300 at Bristol Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 46 of 300 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Clint Bowyer rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Track

Bristol Motor Speedway

Season

2009

Winner

Kevin Harvick

Leaders

8 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	13	+12	Kevin Harvick	Kevin Harvick Inc.		300	—	Running	46	190
2	2	—	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		300	—	Running	75	175
3	7	+4	Clint Bowyer	Richard Childress Racing		300	—	Running	3	170
4	6	+2	Matt Kenseth	Roush Fenway Racing		300	—	Running	—	160
5	14	+9	Justin Allgaier	Penske Racing	Dodge	300	—	Running	—	155
6	4	-2	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing		300	—	Running	156	160
7	30	+23	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing		300	—	Running	—	146
8	19	+11	Scott Speed	Michael Waltrip Racing		300	—	Running	—	142
9	23	+14	Joey Logano	Joe Gibbs Racing		300	—	Running	—	138
10	9	-1	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		300	—	Running	—	134
11	11	—	Paul Menard	Yates Racing		300	—	Running	—	130
12	15	+3	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		300	—	Running	—	127
13	20	+7	Scott Lagasse Jr.	CJM Racing		300	—	Running	—	124
14	34	+20	Kenny Wallace	Jay Robinson Racing		300	—	Running	1	126
15	16	+1	Burney Lamar	Braun Racing		300	—	Running	—	118
16	12	-4	John Wes Townley	Jay Robinson Racing		299	—	Running	—	115
17	40	+23	David Green	Fitz Motorsports		298	—	Running	—	112
18	33	+15	Joe Nemechek	NEMCO Motorsports		298	—	Running	12	114
19	8	-11	David Ragan	Roush Fenway Racing		298	—	Running	—	106
20	21	+1	Michael Annett	Germain Racing		297	—	Running	1	108
21	1	-20	Brendan Gaughan	Rusty Wallace Racing		297	—	Running	6	105
22	29	+7	Scott Wimmer	Key Motorsports		296	—	Running	—	97
23	26	+3	Trevor Bayne	Means Motorsports		296	—	Running	—	94
24	41	+17	Brandon Whitt	Specialty Racing		295	—	Running	—	91
25	37	+12	Casey Atwood	Day Enterprises		295	—	Running	—	88
26	28	+2	Eric McClure	Team Rensi Motorsports		294	—	Running	—	85
27	27	—	Marc Davis	Marc Davis Motorsports		293	—	Running	—	82
28	3	-25	Jason Keller	Baker Curb Racing		292	—	Running	—	79
29	36	+7	Robert Richardson Jr.	R3 Motorsports		289	—	Running	—	76
30	10	-20	Kenny Hendrick	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	288	—	Running	—	73
31	42	+11	Michael McDowell	JTG Daugherty Racing		283	—	Running	—	70
32	32	—	Tony Raines	Front Row Motorsports		283	—	Running	—	67
33	39	+6	Kevin Hamlin	MacDonald Motorsports	Dodge	280	—	Running	—	64
34	38	+4	Morgan Shepherd	Faith Motorsports (Shepherd)		254	—	DNF - Crash	—	61
35	22	-13	Mike Bliss	Phoenix Racing		254	—	Running	—	58
36	18	-18	Kevin Lepage	Quest Motor Racing	Dodge	96	—	DNF - Engine	—	55
37	17	-20	Danny O'Quinn Jr.	JD Motorsports		81	—	DNF - Crash	—	52
38	35	-3	Dennis Setzer	K-Automotive Motorsports	Dodge	55	—	DNF	—	49
39	24	-15	Andy Ponstein	Corrie Stott Racing		22	—	DNF	—	46
40	31	-9	Terry Cook	MSRP Motorsports		20	—	DNF	—	43
41	25	-16	Johnny Chapman	MSRP Motorsports		10	—	DNF	—	40
42	5	-37	Kelly Bires	Braun Racing		5	—	DNF	—	37
43	43	—	Steve Grissom	JD Motorsports		2	—	DNF	—	34
44	—	—	Benny Gordon	VSI Racing		0	—	DNS	—	0

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.3 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
5	Justin Allgaier	17.7	5	+12.7	Moderate
6	Kyle Busch	15.6	6	+9.6	Coinflip
9	Joey Logano	12.1	9	+3.1	Coinflip
12	Brad Keselowski	12.0	12	0.0	Coinflip
31	Michael McDowell	15.0	31	-16.0	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kevin Harvick: has 77 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.1 avg finish (9 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 48 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.1 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P12 on the day.
Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P18. Track history: 27 starts, 11.4 avg finish.

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Track

Bristol Motor Speedway

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Scotts Turf Builder 300?

Kevin Harvick won the 2009 Scotts Turf Builder 300 at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Kevin Harvick Inc..

Where was the 2009 Scotts Turf Builder 300 held?

The 2009 Scotts Turf Builder 300 was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009.