Subway Jalapeno 250 Powered by Coca-Cola

Daytona International Speedway — January 1, 2009

Clint Bowyer
Winner
102
Laps
43
Entries
10
Leaders

Clint Bowyer won the 2009 Subway Jalapeno 250 Powered by Coca-Cola at Daytona International Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 48 of 102 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Carl Edwards rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Clint Bowyer
2 19 +17 Kyle Busch
3 11 +8 Carl Edwards
4 23 +19 Joey Logano
5 15 +10 Kasey Kahne
6 4 -2 Brad Keselowski
7 30 +23 Brian Vickers
8 31 +23 Justin Allgaier
9 2 -7 David Ragan
10 3 -7 Kevin Harvick
11 34 +23 Michael Waltrip
12 26 +14 Steve Wallace
13 39 +26 Michael McDowell
14 6 -8 Matt Kenseth
15 37 +22 Matt Carter
16 36 +20 Kenny Wallace
17 41 +24 Brendan Gaughan
18 38 +20 Scott Lagasse Jr.
19 24 +5 Jason Leffler
20 12 -8 Bobby Gerhart
21 42 +21 Scott Wimmer
22 16 -6 Jason Keller
23 28 +5 Tony Raines
24 14 -10 Joe Nemechek
25 43 +18 Johnny Borneman III
26 32 +6 Robert Richardson Jr.
27 5 -22 David Gilliland
28 33 +5 Eric McClure
29 29 Mike Bliss
30 40 +10 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
31 20 -11 Mike Harmon
32 10 -22 Morgan Shepherd
33 18 -15 Kertus Davis
34 13 -21 Jeff Green
35 9 -26 Michael Annett
36 22 -14 John Wes Townley
37 35 -2 Chase Austin
38 8 -30 Kerry Earnhardt
39 21 -18 Mark Green
40 7 -33 Dale Earnhardt Jr.
41 27 -14 Patrick Sheltra
42 17 -25 Donnie Neuenberger
43 25 -18 Johnny Chapman
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Kyle Busch 15.1 2 +13.1
4 Joey Logano 20.5 4 +16.5
6 Brad Keselowski 16.0 6 +10.0
8 Justin Allgaier 21.1 8 +13.1
13 Michael McDowell 20.0 13 +7.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Clint Bowyer: has 40 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 14.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Kyle Busch: was the model’s top pick based on 69 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
  • Joey Logano: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P21. Track history: 44 starts, 15.5 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Subway Jalapeno 250 Powered by Coca-Cola?
Clint Bowyer won the 2009 Subway Jalapeno 250 Powered by Coca-Cola at Daytona International Speedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2009 Subway Jalapeno 250 Powered by Coca-Cola held?
The 2009 Subway Jalapeno 250 Powered by Coca-Cola was held at Daytona International Speedway on January 1, 2009.