NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT PHOENIX
Phoenix Raceway — February 26, 2011
Kyle Busch
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
1
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2011 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT PHOENIX at Phoenix Raceway on February 26, 2011, leading 200 of 200 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Track
Season
2011
Winner
Leaders
1 driver
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 2 | — | Carl Edwards |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Ryan Newman |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Reed Sorenson |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 15 | +8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Brian Scott |
| 10 | 18 | +8 | Kenny Wallace |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Jason Leffler |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Elliott Sadler |
| 13 | 25 | +12 | Aric Almirola |
| 14 | 14 | — | Ryan Truex |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Joe Nemechek |
| 16 | 26 | +10 | Scott Wimmer |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Danica Patrick |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | Josh Wise |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Michael Annett |
| 20 | 19 | -1 | Mike Bliss |
| 21 | 23 | +2 | Charles Lewandoski |
| 22 | 22 | — | Jeremy Clements |
| 23 | 35 | +12 | Derrike Cope |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Eric McClure |
| 26 | 21 | -5 | Mike Wallace |
| 27 | 32 | +5 | Blake Koch |
| 28 | 29 | +1 | Shelby Howard |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | Timmy Hill |
| 30 | 8 | -22 | Steve Wallace |
| 31 | 7 | -24 | Trevor Bayne |
| 32 | 40 | +8 | Jennifer Cobb |
| 33 | 28 | -5 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 34 | 4 | -30 | Brad Keselowski |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Daryl Harr |
| 36 | 38 | +2 | Carl Long |
| 37 | 37 | — | Kevin Lepage |
| 38 | 33 | -5 | Kelly Bires |
| 39 | 39 | — | Brett Rowe |
| 40 | 36 | -4 | Justin Marks |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 1 | +14.6 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 6 | +6.1 |
| 7 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 7 | +13.1 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 8 | +9.7 |
| 14 | Ryan Truex | 15.6 | 14 | +1.6 |
| 29 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 29 | -4.7 |
| 34 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 34 | -22.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 34 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 7.1 avg finish (7 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 14.8 avg finish, finishing P34 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2011 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT PHOENIX?
Kyle Busch won the 2011 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT PHOENIX at Phoenix Raceway.
Where was the 2011 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT PHOENIX held?
The 2011 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT PHOENIX was held at Phoenix Raceway on February 26, 2011.