NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol

Bristol Motor Speedway — August 24, 2012

Joey Logano
Winner
250
Laps
43
Entries
4
Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 24, 2012, leading 81 of 250 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, August 24, 2012
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Joey Logano
2 5 +3 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
3 10 +7 Kyle Busch
4 4 Austin Dillon
5 7 +2 Elliott Sadler
6 19 +13 Cole Whitt
7 12 +5 Ryan Blaney
8 18 +10 Michael Annett
9 34 +25 Danica Patrick
10 9 -1 Sam Hornish Jr.
11 16 +5 Joe Nemechek
12 23 +11 Tayler Malsam
13 14 +1 Mike Bliss
14 15 +1 Kasey Kahne
15 13 -2 Kevin Harvick
16 1 -15 Trevor Bayne
17 33 +16 Mike Wallace
18 26 +8 Jason Bowles
19 27 +8 Josh Richards
20 30 +10 Kevin Lepage
21 11 -10 Nelson Piquet Jr.
22 38 +16 Benny Gordon
23 20 -3 John Wes Townley
24 42 +18 Robert Richardson Jr.
25 28 +3 Timmy Hill
26 41 +15 Brad Teague
27 39 +12 Eric McClure
28 36 +8 Fain Skinner
29 29 Johanna Long
30 6 -24 Justin Allgaier
31 32 +1 Joey Gase
32 8 -24 Brad Keselowski
33 21 -12 Jeremy Clements
34 3 -31 Brian Scott
35 22 -13 Erik Darnell
36 40 +4 Rick Crawford
37 43 +6 Carl Long
38 25 -13 Scott Riggs
39 37 -2 David Starr
40 24 -16 Josh Wise
41 35 -6 Tim Andrews
42 17 -25 Jeff Green
43 31 -12 Chase Miller
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Joey Logano 12.1 1 +11.1
2 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20.1 2 +18.1
3 Kyle Busch 15.6 3 +12.6
4 Austin Dillon 17.0 4 +13.0
7 Ryan Blaney 6.8 7 -0.2
25 Timmy Hill 24.3 25 -0.7
30 Justin Allgaier 17.7 30 -12.3
31 Joey Gase 22.0 31 -9.0
32 Brad Keselowski 12.0 32 -20.0
39 David Starr 20.2 39 -18.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Joey Logano: has 44 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (6 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P20. Track history: 24 starts, 14.1 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol?
Joey Logano won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 24, 2012.