NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles
Talladega Superspeedway — May 5, 2012
Joey Logano
Winner
122
Laps
43
Entries
18
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2012 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles at Talladega Superspeedway on May 5, 2012, leading 17 of 122 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Ricky Stenhouse Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 18 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 5, 2012
Track
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
18 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 12 | +10 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Cole Whitt |
| 5 | 33 | +28 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 6 | 31 | +25 | Kurt Busch |
| 7 | 7 | — | James Buescher |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 20 | +11 | Kenny Wallace |
| 10 | 1 | -9 | Elliott Sadler |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Ryan Truex |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Danica Patrick |
| 14 | 27 | +13 | Erik Darnell |
| 15 | 26 | +11 | John Wes Townley |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Danny Efland |
| 17 | 5 | -12 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 15 | -3 | Mike Bliss |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | Joe Nemechek |
| 20 | 9 | -11 | Brad Keselowski |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Timmy Hill |
| 22 | 3 | -19 | Kevin Harvick |
| 23 | 10 | -13 | Michael Annett |
| 24 | 14 | -10 | Tayler Malsam |
| 25 | 43 | +18 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 26 | 34 | +8 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Eric McClure |
| 28 | 19 | -9 | Mike Wallace |
| 29 | 21 | -8 | Jeremy Clements |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Josh Richards |
| 31 | 35 | +4 | T.J. Bell |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Tim Andrews |
| 33 | 6 | -27 | Brad Sweet |
| 34 | 25 | -9 | Jason Bowles |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 36 | 22 | -14 | Brian Scott |
| 37 | 24 | -13 | Johanna Long |
| 38 | 42 | +4 | Mike Harmon |
| 39 | 32 | -7 | Jeff Green |
| 40 | 40 | — | Josh Wise |
| 41 | 39 | -2 | Chase Miller |
| 42 | 41 | -1 | Scott Speed |
| 43 | 37 | -6 | Kevin Lepage |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 1 | +19.5 |
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 2 | +13.1 |
| 3 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 3 | +15.5 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 8 | +13.1 |
| 11 | Ryan Truex | 20.5 | 11 | +9.5 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 17 | +6.4 |
| 20 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 20 | -4.0 |
| 21 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 21 | +1.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 42 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 18.0 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Kyle Busch: was the model’s top pick based on 54 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 18.1 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles?
Joey Logano won the 2012 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2012 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles held?
The 2012 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles was held at Talladega Superspeedway on May 5, 2012.