North Carolina Education Lottery 200
Charlotte Motor Speedway — January 1, 2013
Kyle Busch
Winner
134
Laps
36
Entries
5
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2013 North Carolina Education Lottery 200 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2013, leading 80 of 134 laps. Brendan Gaughan finished second; Max Gresham rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
Track
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 23 | +21 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 3 | 21 | +18 | Max Gresham |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Matt Crafton |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Ty Dillon |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | James Buescher |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Miguel Paludo |
| 8 | 18 | +10 | John Wes Townley |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Ross Chastain |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Justin Lofton |
| 11 | 24 | +13 | Scott Riggs |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Jeb Burton |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Brad Keselowski |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Ryan Sieg |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Tim George Jr. |
| 17 | 32 | +15 | Todd Bodine |
| 18 | 15 | -3 | Brennan Newberry |
| 19 | 35 | +16 | Blake Koch |
| 20 | 34 | +14 | Danny Efland |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Jeff Agnew |
| 22 | 33 | +11 | Chris Cockrum |
| 23 | 30 | +7 | David Starr |
| 24 | 36 | +12 | Mike Harmon |
| 25 | 9 | -16 | Ryan Blaney |
| 26 | 3 | -23 | Timothy Peters |
| 27 | 13 | -14 | Bubba Wallace |
| 28 | 16 | -12 | Johnny Sauter |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | Tyler Young |
| 30 | 22 | -8 | Ron Hornaday Jr. |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Jake Crum |
| 32 | 17 | -15 | Joey Coulter |
| 33 | 27 | -6 | Caleb Holman |
| 34 | 31 | -3 | Bryan Silas |
| 35 | 10 | -25 | German Quiroga |
| 36 | 29 | -7 | Chris Jones |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 5 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 5 | +18.4 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 9 | +4.3 |
| 14 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 14 | -2.8 |
| 23 | David Starr | 20.9 | 23 | -2.1 |
| 25 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 25 | -15.8 |
| 27 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 27 | -14.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 68 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 8.4 avg finish (17 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 16.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P25 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P23. Track history: 16 starts, 14.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 North Carolina Education Lottery 200?
Kyle Busch won the 2013 North Carolina Education Lottery 200 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2013 North Carolina Education Lottery 200 held?
The 2013 North Carolina Education Lottery 200 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2013.