American Ethanol 200

Iowa Speedway — January 1, 2013

Timothy Peters

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Timothy Peters won the 2013 American Ethanol 200 at Iowa Speedway on January 1, 2013, leading 39 of 200 laps. Erik Jones finished second; James Buescher rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Tuesday, January 1, 2013

Track

Iowa Speedway

Season

2013

Winner

Timothy Peters

Leaders

5 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	10	+9	Timothy Peters	Red Horse Racing	200	—	Running	39	47
2	7	+5	Erik Jones	Kyle Busch Motorsports	200	—	Running	—	42
3	12	+9	James Buescher	Turner Scott Motorsports	200	—	Running	39	42
4	15	+11	Ron Hornaday Jr.	NTS Motorsports	200	—	Running	—	40
5	11	+6	Chase Elliott	Bill Elliott Racing	200	—	Running	—	39
6	16	+10	Matt Crafton	ThorSport Racing	200	—	Running	—	38
7	2	-5	Miguel Paludo	Turner Scott Motorsports	200	—	Running	—	37
8	21	+13	Bubba Wallace	Kyle Busch Motorsports	200	—	Running	—	36
9	9	—	Joey Coulter	Kyle Busch Motorsports	200	—	Running	—	35
10	22	+12	Dakoda Armstrong	Turn One Racing	200	—	Running	—	34
11	8	-3	Johnny Sauter	ThorSport Racing	200	—	Running	—	33
12	14	+2	John Wes Townley	Red Horse Racing	200	—	Running	—	32
13	5	-8	Ross Chastain	Brad Keselowski Racing	200	—	Running	—	31
14	1	-13	German Quiroga	Red Horse Racing	200	—	Running	56	31
15	18	+3	Max Gresham	Sharp-Gallaher Racing	200	—	Running	—	29
16	3	-13	Ty Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	200	—	Running	65	30
17	26	+9	Steve Wallace	Adrian Carriers Racing	199	—	Running	—	0
18	19	+1	Ryan Sieg	RSS Racing	199	—	Running	1	27
19	20	+1	Brennan Newberry	NTS Motorsports	199	—	Running	—	25
20	24	+4	Jeff Agnew	Hillman Racing	199	—	Running	—	24
21	27	+6	Frank Kimmel	ThorSport Racing	199	—	Running	—	23
22	17	-5	Jeb Burton	Turner Scott Motorsports	199	—	Running	—	22
23	13	-10	Tim George Jr.	Wauters Motorsports	197	—	Running	—	21
24	28	+4	Jimmy Weller III	SS Green Light Racing	197	—	Running	—	20
25	25	—	Josh Reaume	SS Green Light Racing	196	—	Running	—	19
26	6	-20	Ryan Blaney	Brad Keselowski Racing	195	—	Running	—	18
27	23	-4	Tyler Young	Young's Motorsports	194	—	Running	—	17
28	30	+2	Justin Jennings	MB Motorsports	194	—	Running	—	16
29	35	+6	Bryan Silas	T3R2 Racing	191	—	Running	—	15
30	33	+3	Norm Benning	Norm Benning Racing	186	—	Running	—	14
31	4	-27	Brendan Gaughan	Richard Childress Racing	159	—	Running	—	13
32	32	—	Jennifer Jo Cobb	Jennifer Jo Cobb Racing	20	—	DNF - Engine	—	12
33	31	-2	Danny Efland	MAKE Motorsports	11	—	DNF	—	0
34	29	-5	Chris Jones	RSS Racing	7	—	DNF	—	10
35	34	-1	Chris Lafferty	Jennifer Jo Cobb Racing	3	—	DNF	—	9

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Erik Jones	16.7	2	+14.7	Coinflip
5	Chase Elliott	7.8	5	+2.8	High Confidence
8	Bubba Wallace	12.7	8	+4.7	Coinflip
13	Ross Chastain	13.3	13	+0.3	Coinflip
16	Ty Dillon	23.4	16	+7.4	High Confidence
26	Ryan Blaney	9.2	26	-16.8	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Timothy Peters: has 10 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 12.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 9.5 avg finish, finishing P5 on the day.
Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 9 starts, 7.4 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2013 American Ethanol 200?

Timothy Peters won the 2013 American Ethanol 200 at Iowa Speedway driving for Red Horse Racing.

Where was the 2013 American Ethanol 200 held?

The 2013 American Ethanol 200 was held at Iowa Speedway on January 1, 2013.