NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen

Watkins Glen International — August 10, 2013

Brad Keselowski

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Brad Keselowski won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International on August 10, 2013, leading 46 of 82 laps. Sam Hornish Jr. finished second; Brian Vickers rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, August 10, 2013

Track

Watkins Glen International

Season

2013

Winner

Brad Keselowski

Leaders

6 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	5	+4	Brad Keselowski		82	—	Running	46	0
2	1	-1	Sam Hornish Jr.		82	—	Running	15	43
3	8	+5	Brian Vickers		82	—	Running	1	42
4	4	—	Regan Smith		82	—	Running	1	41
5	11	+6	Elliott Sadler		82	—	Running	—	39
6	9	+3	Parker Kligerman		82	—	Running	7	39
7	6	-1	Justin Allgaier		82	—	Running	—	37
8	17	+9	Cole Whitt		82	—	Running	—	36
9	7	-2	Nelson Piquet Jr.		82	—	Running	—	35
10	12	+2	Trevor Bayne		82	—	Running	—	34
11	10	-1	Brian Scott		82	—	Running	—	33
12	14	+2	Austin Dillon		82	—	Running	—	32
13	19	+6	Alex Bowman		82	—	Running	—	31
14	16	+2	Brendan Gaughan		82	—	Running	—	0
15	20	+5	Travis Pastrana		82	—	Running	—	29
16	27	+11	Reed Sorenson		82	—	Running	—	28
17	24	+7	Landon Cassill		82	—	Running	—	27
18	13	-5	Kasey Kahne		82	—	Running	—	0
19	22	+3	Kyle Kelley		82	—	Running	—	25
20	26	+6	Jeremy Clements		82	—	Running	—	24
21	3	-18	Joey Logano		81	—	Running	12	0
22	18	-4	Michael Annett		81	—	Running	—	22
23	28	+5	Bryan Silas		81	—	Running	—	0
24	2	-22	Kyle Busch		77	—	Running	—	0
25	35	+10	Derek White		75	—	Running	—	19
26	21	-5	Andrew Ranger	Dodge	71	—	Running	—	18
27	25	-2	Mike Bliss		71	—	Running	—	17
28	30	+2	Eric McClure		67	—	DNF	—	16
29	33	+4	Tony Raines		47	—	DNF	—	15
30	15	-15	Kyle Larson		41	—	DNF	—	14
31	37	+6	Carl Long	Dodge	35	—	DNF	—	13
32	39	+7	Anthony Gandon		27	—	DNF	—	12
33	38	+5	Joey Gase		20	—	DNF	—	11
34	32	-2	Kenny Habul		15	—	DNF	—	10
35	40	+5	Morgan Shepherd		12	—	DNF	—	0
36	36	—	Blake Koch		7	—	DNF	—	8
37	29	-8	Jeff Green		4	—	DNF	—	7
38	34	-4	T.J. Bell		2	—	DNF	—	6
39	31	-8	Josh Wise		1	—	DNF	—	5
40	23	-17	Mike Wallace		0	—	DNS	—	4

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Brad Keselowski	16.7	1	+15.7	High Confidence
7	Justin Allgaier	16.8	7	+9.8	Moderate
12	Austin Dillon	21.4	12	+9.4	Moderate
13	Alex Bowman	16.7	13	+3.7	Moderate
21	Joey Logano	12.7	21	-8.3	Moderate
24	Kyle Busch	13.0	24	-11.0	Coinflip
30	Kyle Larson	12.9	30	-17.1	Moderate
33	Joey Gase	20.8	33	-12.2	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Brad Keselowski: has 24 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 13.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Joey Logano: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P21 on the day.

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Track

Watkins Glen International

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen?

Brad Keselowski won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International.

Where was the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen held?

The 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen was held at Watkins Glen International on August 10, 2013.