Ford EcoBoost 200

Homestead-Miami Speedway — November 14, 2014

Bubba Wallace
Winner
134
Laps
36
Entries
5
Leaders

Bubba Wallace won the 2014 Ford EcoBoost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 14, 2014, leading 30 of 134 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Timothy Peters rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, November 14, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 8 +7 Bubba Wallace
2 1 -1 Kyle Larson
3 15 +12 Timothy Peters
4 5 +1 Kyle Busch
5 2 -3 Ryan Blaney
6 4 -2 Tyler Reddick
7 7 Ty Dillon
8 14 +6 Joe Nemechek
9 6 -3 Matt Crafton
10 17 +7 Johnny Sauter
11 3 -8 Ross Chastain
12 13 +1 Daniel Hemric
13 9 -4 Jeb Burton
14 16 +2 Spencer Gallagher
15 22 +7 German Quiroga
16 18 +2 Mason Mitchell
17 11 -6 Ben Kennedy
18 10 -8 Bryan Silas
19 20 +1 Tayler Malsam
20 26 +6 Austin Hill
21 24 +3 Matt Tifft
22 27 +5 Justin Jennings
23 19 -4 Joey Coulter
24 25 +1 Tyler Young
25 28 +3 Kyle Martel
26 32 +6 Todd Peck
27 33 +6 Derek White
28 21 -7 Ray Black Jr.
29 23 -6 Mason Mingus
30 31 +1 Jordan Anderson
31 30 -1 Wendell Chavous
32 29 -3 Jennifer Jo Cobb
33 36 +3 Scott Stenzel
34 35 +1 Norm Benning
35 12 -23 John Wes Townley
36 34 -2 Caleb Roark
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Bubba Wallace 12.7 1 +11.7
2 Kyle Larson 12.7 2 +10.7
4 Kyle Busch 17.0 4 +13.0
5 Ryan Blaney 9.2 5 +4.2
6 Tyler Reddick 6.2 6 +0.2
7 Ty Dillon 23.4 7 +16.4
11 Ross Chastain 13.3 11 +2.3
20 Austin Hill 20.9 20 +0.9

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Bubba Wallace: has 9 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 11.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 6.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P6 on the day.
  • Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P23. Track history: 12 starts, 16.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 Ford EcoBoost 200?
Bubba Wallace won the 2014 Ford EcoBoost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2014 Ford EcoBoost 200 held?
The 2014 Ford EcoBoost 200 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 14, 2014.