Kroger 250

Martinsville Speedway — March 30, 2014

Matt Crafton
Winner
256
Laps
36
Entries
6
Leaders

Matt Crafton won the 2014 Kroger 250 at Martinsville Speedway on March 30, 2014, leading 47 of 256 laps. Bubba Wallace finished second; Ben Kennedy rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 30, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 10 +9 Matt Crafton
2 1 -1 Bubba Wallace
3 6 +3 Ben Kennedy
4 14 +10 Johnny Sauter
5 2 -3 Ryan Blaney
6 3 -3 Timothy Peters
7 8 +1 German Quiroga
8 12 +4 Ben Rhodes
9 5 -4 Ron Hornaday Jr.
10 7 -3 Brian Ickler
11 20 +9 John Hunter Nemechek
12 9 -3 Cole Custer
13 15 +2 Chase Pistone
14 13 -1 Ross Chastain
15 21 +6 Brandon Jones
16 17 +1 Tyler Reddick
17 18 +1 Joey Coulter
18 4 -14 Erik Jones
19 11 -8 Gray Gaulding
20 16 -4 John Wes Townley
21 22 +1 Jeb Burton
22 26 +4 Caleb Holman
23 33 +10 Travis Kvapil
24 29 +5 Ray Black Jr.
25 31 +6 Justin Jennings
26 34 +8 Korbin Forrister
27 36 +9 Jennifer Jo Cobb
28 35 +7 Norm Benning
29 19 -10 Mason Mingus
30 28 -2 Clay Greenfield
31 23 -8 Tyler Young
32 25 -7 Spencer Gallagher
33 27 -6 Bryan Silas
34 32 -2 Josh Williams
35 30 -5 Raymond Terczak Jr.
36 24 -12 Alex Guenette
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Bubba Wallace 14.0 2 +12.0
5 Ryan Blaney 6.8 5 +1.8
11 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 11 +9.1
12 Cole Custer 23.0 12 +11.0
14 Ross Chastain 13.8 14 -0.2
16 Tyler Reddick 9.9 16 -6.1
18 Erik Jones 17.7 18 -0.3

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Matt Crafton: has 44 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
  • Bubba Wallace: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P14. Track history: 22 starts, 14.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 Kroger 250?
Matt Crafton won the 2014 Kroger 250 at Martinsville Speedway driving for ThorSport Racing.
Where was the 2014 Kroger 250 held?
The 2014 Kroger 250 was held at Martinsville Speedway on March 30, 2014.