Lucas Oil 225

Chicagoland Speedway — September 13, 2014

Kyle Busch
Winner
150
Laps
32
Entries
8
Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2014 Lucas Oil 225 at Chicagoland Speedway on September 13, 2014, leading 66 of 150 laps. Matt Crafton finished second; Austin Dillon rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 13, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 7 +6 Kyle Busch
2 9 +7 Matt Crafton
3 4 +1 Austin Dillon
4 12 +8 Tyler Reddick
5 3 -2 Jeb Burton
6 6 Bubba Wallace
7 17 +10 Ben Kennedy
8 11 +3 Joey Coulter
9 14 +5 Joe Nemechek
10 13 +3 Bryan Silas
11 19 +8 Tyler Young
12 5 -7 Ryan Blaney
13 2 -11 Brennan Newberry
14 1 -13 Johnny Sauter
15 15 John Wes Townley
16 16 Mason Mingus
17 10 -7 Timothy Peters
18 22 +4 Ray Black Jr.
19 8 -11 German Quiroga
20 25 +5 Todd Peck
21 21 Jennifer Jo Cobb
22 20 -2 Justin Jennings
23 18 -5 Tayler Malsam
24 28 +4 Michael Affarano
25 23 -2 Todd Shafer
26 24 -2 T.J. Bell
27 29 +2 Norm Benning
28 26 -2 Caleb Roark
29 30 +1 Scott Stenzel
30 32 +2 Adam Edwards
31 27 -4 Ted Minor
32 31 -1 Mike Harmon
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Busch 17.0 1 +16.0
3 Austin Dillon 17.1 3 +14.1
4 Tyler Reddick 6.2 4 +2.2
6 Bubba Wallace 12.7 6 +6.7
12 Ryan Blaney 9.2 12 -2.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Busch: has 32 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 9.5 avg finish (10 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 5 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish, finishing P4 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 Lucas Oil 225?
Kyle Busch won the 2014 Lucas Oil 225 at Chicagoland Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2014 Lucas Oil 225 held?
The 2014 Lucas Oil 225 was held at Chicagoland Speedway on September 13, 2014.