UNOH 200

Bristol Motor Speedway — August 21, 2014

Brad Keselowski
Winner
200
Laps
36
Entries
2
Leaders

Brad Keselowski won the 2014 UNOH 200 at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 21, 2014, leading 119 of 200 laps. Bubba Wallace finished second; Ron Hornaday Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 2 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, August 21, 2014
Season
2014
Leaders
2 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 4 +3 Brad Keselowski
2 8 +6 Bubba Wallace
3 3 Ron Hornaday Jr.
4 11 +7 Matt Crafton
5 7 +2 Johnny Sauter
6 13 +7 John Hunter Nemechek
7 19 +12 Joey Coulter
8 2 -6 Cole Custer
9 9 Ben Rhodes
10 21 +11 Corey LaJoie
11 15 +4 Jeb Burton
12 17 +5 Max Gresham
13 14 +1 Ryan Blaney
14 6 -8 German Quiroga
15 16 +1 Caleb Holman
16 24 +8 Justin Jennings
17 18 +1 Brennan Newberry
18 26 +8 Tyler Young
19 30 +11 Jimmy Weller III
20 10 -10 Brandon Jones
21 12 -9 Ben Kennedy
22 29 +7 Mason Mingus
23 5 -18 Gray Gaulding
24 1 -23 Kyle Busch
25 34 +9 Norm Benning
26 20 -6 Timothy Peters
27 35 +8 Jennifer Jo Cobb
28 25 -3 T.J. Bell
29 23 -6 John Wes Townley
30 27 -3 Justin Boston
31 33 +2 Jody Knowles
32 22 -10 Bryan Silas
33 28 -5 Jake Crum
34 32 -2 B.J. McLeod
35 31 -4 Blake Koch
36 36 Bryan Dauzat
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Brad Keselowski 12.0 1 +11.0
2 Bubba Wallace 14.0 2 +12.0
6 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 6 +14.1
8 Cole Custer 23.0 8 +15.0
10 Corey LaJoie 24.9 10 +14.9
13 Ryan Blaney 6.8 13 -6.2
24 Kyle Busch 15.6 24 -8.4
34 B.J. McLeod 25.6 34 -8.4

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Brad Keselowski: has 48 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.1 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P13 on the day.
  • Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P23. Track history: 17 starts, 14.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 UNOH 200?
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 UNOH 200 at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Brad Keselowski Racing.
Where was the 2014 UNOH 200 held?
The 2014 UNOH 200 was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 21, 2014.