Kroger 250
Martinsville Speedway — January 1, 2015
Joey Logano
Winner
258
Laps
32
Entries
5
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2015 Kroger 250 at Martinsville Speedway on January 1, 2015, leading 150 of 258 laps. Matt Crafton finished second; Erik Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2015
Track
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Matt Crafton |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Erik Jones |
| 4 | 9 | +5 | Johnny Sauter |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Tyler Reddick |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Daniel Suarez |
| 7 | 15 | +8 | James Buescher |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | John Wes Townley |
| 9 | 19 | +10 | Matt Tifft |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Justin Boston |
| 11 | 3 | -8 | Cameron Hayley |
| 12 | 14 | +2 | Daniel Hemric |
| 13 | 26 | +13 | Ray Black Jr. |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 15 | 6 | -9 | Brandon Jones |
| 16 | 2 | -14 | Cole Custer |
| 17 | 12 | -5 | Gray Gaulding |
| 18 | 17 | -1 | Timothy Peters |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Ben Kennedy |
| 20 | 10 | -10 | Tyler Young |
| 21 | 23 | +2 | Caleb Holman |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Mason Mingus |
| 23 | 27 | +4 | Korbin Forrister |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Tommy Regan |
| 26 | 24 | -2 | Jake Griffin |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Cody Ware |
| 28 | 29 | +1 | Norm Benning |
| 29 | 16 | -13 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 30 | 8 | -22 | David Gilliland |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Bryan Silas |
| 32 | 32 | — | Travis Kvapil |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 1 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 3 | +14.7 |
| 5 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 5 | +4.9 |
| 6 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 6 | +9.6 |
| 16 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 16 | +7.0 |
| 27 | Cody Ware | 29.8 | 27 | +2.8 |
| 29 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 29 | -8.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 37 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish, finishing P5 on the day.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P18. Track history: 18 starts, 16.0 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2015 Kroger 250?
Joey Logano won the 2015 Kroger 250 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Brad Keselowski Racing.
Where was the 2015 Kroger 250 held?
The 2015 Kroger 250 was held at Martinsville Speedway on January 1, 2015.