Ford EcoBoost 200
Homestead-Miami Speedway, November 18, 2016
William Byron
Winner
134
Laps
32
Entries
5
Leaders
William Byron won the 2016 Ford EcoBoost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 18, 2016, leading 31 of 134 laps. Tyler Reddick finished second; Johnny Sauter rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, November 18, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | William Byron |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Tyler Reddick |
| 3 | 19 | +16 | Johnny Sauter |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 18 | +13 | Daniel Hemric |
| 6 | 17 | +11 | Daniel Suarez |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | Matt Crafton |
| 8 | 8 | — | Christopher Bell |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Timothy Peters |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Cole Custer |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 12 | 22 | +10 | Matt Tifft |
| 13 | 20 | +7 | Rico Abreu |
| 14 | 14 | — | Ben Kennedy |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Noah Gragson |
| 16 | 16 | — | Cameron Hayley |
| 17 | 24 | +7 | Austin Hill |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Jesse Little |
| 19 | 9 | -10 | Brady Boswell |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | Ben Rhodes |
| 21 | 5 | -16 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 22 | 21 | -1 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 23 | 23 | — | Grant Enfinger |
| 24 | 30 | +6 | Jordan Anderson |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Alon Day |
| 27 | 32 | +5 | Travis Kvapil |
| 28 | 28 | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 29 | 25 | -4 | Stewart Friesen |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | Spencer Boyd |
| 31 | 26 | -5 | Patrick Staropoli |
| 32 | 15 | -17 | Ryan Truex |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.8 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Byron | 10.7 | 1 | +9.7 |
| 2 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 4 | +9.1 |
| 6 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 6 | +6.7 |
| 8 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 8 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 10 | +12.0 |
| 11 | John Hunter Nemechek | 18.3 | 11 | +7.3 |
| 15 | Noah Gragson | 22.9 | 15 | +7.9 |
| 17 | Austin Hill | 26.4 | 17 | +9.4 |
| 32 | Ryan Truex | 16.9 | 32 | -15.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- William Byron: has 10 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 11.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Christopher Bell: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 13.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P8 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P10 vs predicted P22. Track history: 11 starts, 13.1 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 Ford EcoBoost 200?
William Byron won the 2016 Ford EcoBoost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2016 Ford EcoBoost 200 held?
The 2016 Ford EcoBoost 200 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 18, 2016.