Toyota Tundra 250
Kansas Speedway — May 6, 2016
William Byron
Winner
170
Laps
32
Entries
9
Leaders
William Byron won the 2016 Toyota Tundra 250 at Kansas Speedway on May 6, 2016, leading 34 of 170 laps. Matt Crafton finished second; Daniel Hemric rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | William Byron |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Matt Crafton |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Daniel Hemric |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Christopher Bell |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Clint Bowyer |
| 6 | 21 | +15 | Ryan Truex |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | Cole Custer |
| 8 | 8 | — | Timothy Peters |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Ben Kennedy |
| 10 | 32 | +22 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | Tyler Young |
| 12 | 22 | +10 | Brandon Brown |
| 13 | 3 | -10 | Tyler Reddick |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | Matt Tifft |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | B.J. McLeod |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Johnny Sauter |
| 17 | 17 | — | Mike Bliss |
| 18 | 10 | -8 | Ben Rhodes |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Cameron Hayley |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Travis Kvapil |
| 21 | 27 | +6 | Timmy Hill |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Rico Abreu |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | Bobby Pierce |
| 24 | 28 | +4 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 26 | 1 | -25 | John Wes Townley |
| 27 | 14 | -13 | Cody Coughlin |
| 28 | 6 | -22 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 29 | 23 | -6 | Jordan Anderson |
| 30 | 30 | — | Ryan Ellis |
| 31 | 18 | -13 | Parker Kligerman |
| 32 | 19 | -13 | Tommy Joe Martins |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.8 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Byron | 10.7 | 1 | +9.7 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 6 | Ryan Truex | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 7 | +15.9 |
| 13 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 13 | -6.8 |
| 15 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 15 | +9.8 |
| 21 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 21 | +2.9 |
| 28 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 28 | -8.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- William Byron: has 20 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 10.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P13 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P23. Track history: 14 starts, 17.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 Toyota Tundra 250?
William Byron won the 2016 Toyota Tundra 250 at Kansas Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2016 Toyota Tundra 250 held?
The 2016 Toyota Tundra 250 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 6, 2016.