Pocono Mountains 150
Pocono Raceway — July 30, 2016
William Byron
Winner
60
Laps
32
Entries
3
Leaders
William Byron won the 2016 Pocono Mountains 150 at Pocono Raceway on July 30, 2016, leading 44 of 60 laps. Cameron Hayley finished second; Brett Moffitt rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 30, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | William Byron |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Cameron Hayley |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Brett Moffitt |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Timothy Peters |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Cole Custer |
| 6 | 17 | +11 | Rico Abreu |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Ben Kennedy |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Johnny Sauter |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 10 | 5 | -5 | Christopher Bell |
| 11 | 3 | -8 | Ben Rhodes |
| 12 | 20 | +8 | Matt Crafton |
| 13 | 8 | -5 | Cody Coughlin |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Jordan Anderson |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 16 | 30 | +14 | Travis Kvapil |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Reed Sorenson |
| 19 | 25 | +6 | Kyle Martel |
| 20 | 29 | +9 | Ryan Ellis |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Todd Peck |
| 22 | 14 | -8 | Daniel Hemric |
| 23 | 27 | +4 | Norm Benning |
| 24 | 19 | -5 | Brandon Brown |
| 25 | 21 | -4 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 26 | 4 | -22 | Tyler Reddick |
| 27 | 24 | -3 | Carlos Contreras |
| 28 | 31 | +3 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 29 | 13 | -16 | John Wes Townley |
| 30 | 28 | -2 | Sean Corr |
| 31 | 6 | -25 | Austin Hill |
| 32 | 32 | — | Caleb Roark |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Byron | 10.7 | 1 | +9.7 |
| 5 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 5 | +17.9 |
| 9 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 9 | +10.1 |
| 10 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 10 | +0.7 |
| 26 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 26 | -19.8 |
| 31 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 31 | -10.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- William Byron: has 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 11.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.8 avg finish, finishing P26 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P23. Track history: 12 starts, 13.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 Pocono Mountains 150?
William Byron won the 2016 Pocono Mountains 150 at Pocono Raceway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2016 Pocono Mountains 150 held?
The 2016 Pocono Mountains 150 was held at Pocono Raceway on July 30, 2016.