Lucas Oil 150
Phoenix Raceway — November 10, 2017
Johnny Sauter
Winner
150
Laps
32
Entries
3
Leaders
Johnny Sauter won the 2017 Lucas Oil 150 at Phoenix Raceway on November 10, 2017, leading 5 of 150 laps. John Hunter Nemechek finished second; Cody Coughlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, November 10, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Johnny Sauter |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Cody Coughlin |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | Chase Briscoe |
| 5 | 15 | +10 | Kaz Grala |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Stewart Friesen |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Todd Gilliland |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Christopher Bell |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Austin Cindric |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Bayley Currey |
| 11 | 23 | +12 | Jason Hathaway |
| 12 | 20 | +8 | Robby Lyons |
| 13 | 26 | +13 | Jordan Anderson |
| 14 | 16 | +2 | Justin Haley |
| 15 | 2 | -13 | Noah Gragson |
| 16 | 25 | +9 | Josh Reaume |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Dalton Sargeant |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | Jesse Little |
| 19 | 11 | -8 | Ryan Truex |
| 20 | 3 | -17 | Ben Rhodes |
| 21 | 4 | -17 | Matt Crafton |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | Norm Benning |
| 23 | 17 | -6 | Austin Hill |
| 24 | 9 | -15 | Grant Enfinger |
| 25 | 22 | -3 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Ray Ciccarelli |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 28 | 27 | -1 | Mike Harmon |
| 29 | 19 | -10 | Joe Nemechek |
| 30 | 18 | -12 | T.J. Bell |
| 31 | 31 | — | Ted Minor |
| 32 | 32 | — | Mike Senica |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Sauter | 6 | 6 | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | 5 | 7 | — | — |
| Cody Coughlin | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Kaz Grala | — | — | — | — |
| Stewart Friesen | — | 10 | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | 8 | 8 | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | 7 | 5 | — | — |
| Bayley Currey | — | — | — | — |
| Jason Hathaway | — | — | — | — |
| Robby Lyons | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Anderson | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Reaume | — | — | — | — |
| Dalton Sargeant | — | — | — | — |
| Jesse Little | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Truex | 10 | 9 | — | — |
| Ben Rhodes | 4 | 4 | — | — |
| Matt Crafton | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| Norm Benning | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Grant Enfinger | 9 | — | — | — |
| Austin Wayne Self | — | — | — | — |
| Ray Ciccarelli | — | — | — | — |
| Jennifer Jo Cobb | — | — | — | — |
| Mike Harmon | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| T.J. Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Ted Minor | — | — | — | — |
| Mike Senica | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 2 | +18.1 |
| 4 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 4 | +8.6 |
| 7 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 7 | +10.1 |
| 8 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 8 | +0.6 |
| 9 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 9 | +8.0 |
| 14 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 14 | +7.2 |
| 15 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 15 | +8.0 |
| 19 | Ryan Truex | 15.6 | 19 | -3.4 |
| 23 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 23 | -2.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Johnny Sauter: has 22 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 14.5 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Christopher Bell: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 10.6 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
- John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P20. Track history: 18 starts, 15.9 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Lucas Oil 150?
Johnny Sauter won the 2017 Lucas Oil 150 at Phoenix Raceway driving for GMS Racing.
Where was the 2017 Lucas Oil 150 held?
The 2017 Lucas Oil 150 was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 10, 2017.