NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington

Darlington Raceway, August 31, 2024

Christopher Bell
Winner
150
Laps
38
Entries
4
Leaders

Christopher Bell won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on August 31, 2024, leading 108 of 150 laps. Cole Custer finished second; Sheldon Creed rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 31, 2024
Season
2024
Leaders
4 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Christopher Bell
2 21 +19 Cole Custer
3 2 -1 Sheldon Creed
4 16 +12 Chase Elliott
5 11 +6 Sammy Smith
6 23 +17 Jesse Love
7 26 +19 Shane van Gisbergen
8 5 -3 Chandler Smith
9 6 -3 Austin Hill
10 20 +10 Justin Allgaier
11 15 +4 Joe Graf Jr.
12 24 +12 Ross Chastain
13 10 -3 Parker Kligerman
14 27 +13 Carson Kvapil
15 29 +14 Noah Gragson
16 30 +14 Josh Williams
17 17 Jeb Burton
18 13 -5 Ryan Sieg
19 22 +3 Matt DiBenedetto
20 28 +8 Brennan Poole
21 34 +13 Ryan Ellis
22 31 +9 Kyle Sieg
23 33 +10 Leland Honeyman Jr.
24 35 +11 David Starr
25 12 -13 Corey Heim
26 14 -12 Anthony Alfredo
27 4 -23 A.J. Allmendinger
28 3 -25 Sam Mayer
29 38 +9 Greg Van Alst
30 36 +6 Garrett Smithley
31 25 -6 Jeremy Clements
32 7 -25 Brandon Jones
33 37 +4 Chad Finchum
34 32 -2 Blaine Perkins
35 8 -27 Riley Herbst
36 9 -27 Parker Retzlaff
37 19 -18 Kyle Weatherman
38 18 -20 Joey Logano
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Christopher Bell 9.2 1 +8.2
2 Cole Custer 22.0 2 +20.0
4 Chase Elliott 10.1 4 +6.1
6 Jesse Love 21.0 6 +15.0
7 Shane van Gisbergen 18.3 7 +11.3
9 Austin Hill 26.4 9 +17.4
10 Justin Allgaier 17.1 10 +7.1
12 Ross Chastain 14.5 12 +2.5
15 Noah Gragson 22.9 15 +7.9
20 Brennan Poole 23.4 20 +3.4
24 David Starr 21.0 24 -3.0
25 Corey Heim 14.5 25 -10.5
26 Anthony Alfredo 21.4 26 -4.6
27 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 27 -9.9
33 Chad Finchum 28.2 33 -4.8
35 Riley Herbst 19.9 35 -15.1
38 Joey Logano 11.9 38 -26.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Christopher Bell: has 21 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P22. Track history: 17 starts, 14.7 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington?
Christopher Bell won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington was held at Darlington Raceway on August 31, 2024.