NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington
Darlington Raceway — August 31, 2024
Christopher Bell
Winner
150
Laps
38
Entries
4
Leaders
Christopher Bell won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on August 31, 2024, leading 108 of 150 laps. Cole Custer finished second; Sheldon Creed rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 31, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Christopher Bell |
| 2 | 21 | +19 | Cole Custer |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Sheldon Creed |
| 4 | 16 | +12 | Chase Elliott |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Sammy Smith |
| 6 | 23 | +17 | Jesse Love |
| 7 | 26 | +19 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Chandler Smith |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Austin Hill |
| 10 | 20 | +10 | Justin Allgaier |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 12 | 24 | +12 | Ross Chastain |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Parker Kligerman |
| 14 | 27 | +13 | Carson Kvapil |
| 15 | 29 | +14 | Noah Gragson |
| 16 | 30 | +14 | Josh Williams |
| 17 | 17 | — | Jeb Burton |
| 18 | 13 | -5 | Ryan Sieg |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Brennan Poole |
| 21 | 34 | +13 | Ryan Ellis |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Kyle Sieg |
| 23 | 33 | +10 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 24 | 35 | +11 | David Starr |
| 25 | 12 | -13 | Corey Heim |
| 26 | 14 | -12 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 27 | 4 | -23 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 28 | 3 | -25 | Sam Mayer |
| 29 | 38 | +9 | Greg Van Alst |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Garrett Smithley |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Jeremy Clements |
| 32 | 7 | -25 | Brandon Jones |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Chad Finchum |
| 34 | 32 | -2 | Blaine Perkins |
| 35 | 8 | -27 | Riley Herbst |
| 36 | 9 | -27 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 37 | 19 | -18 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 38 | 18 | -20 | Joey Logano |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 1 | +9.7 |
| 2 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 2 | +20.9 |
| 4 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 6 | Jesse Love | 21.4 | 6 | +15.4 |
| 7 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 7 | +11.3 |
| 9 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 9 | +11.9 |
| 10 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 10 | +8.3 |
| 12 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 12 | +1.3 |
| 15 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 15 | +6.4 |
| 20 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 20 | +4.7 |
| 24 | David Starr | 20.9 | 24 | -3.1 |
| 25 | Corey Heim | 20.9 | 25 | -4.1 |
| 26 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 26 | -5.1 |
| 27 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 27 | -8.7 |
| 33 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 33 | -6.6 |
| 35 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 35 | -13.6 |
| 38 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 38 | -23.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Christopher Bell: has 22 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.5 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P4 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 14 starts, 11.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington?
Christopher Bell won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington was held at Darlington Raceway on August 31, 2024.