NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville
Martinsville Speedway — November 2, 2024
Aric Almirola
Winner
250
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders
Aric Almirola won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway on November 2, 2024, leading 150 of 250 laps. Sammy Smith finished second; Chandler Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, November 2, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Aric Almirola |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Sammy Smith |
| 3 | 3 | — | Chandler Smith |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Cole Custer |
| 5 | 5 | — | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Sheldon Creed |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 8 | 18 | +10 | Parker Kligerman |
| 9 | 21 | +12 | Jeb Burton |
| 10 | 22 | +12 | Myatt Snider |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Riley Herbst |
| 12 | 4 | -8 | Jesse Love |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Brennan Poole |
| 14 | 6 | -8 | Austin Hill |
| 15 | 38 | +23 | Ryan Sieg |
| 16 | 16 | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Josh Williams |
| 18 | 26 | +8 | Ryan Ellis |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Blaine Perkins |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Dylan Lupton |
| 21 | 27 | +6 | Kyle Sieg |
| 22 | 36 | +14 | Mason Maggio |
| 23 | 35 | +12 | Patrick Emerling |
| 24 | 32 | +8 | Preston Pardus |
| 25 | 28 | +3 | Dawson Cram |
| 26 | 37 | +11 | Greg Van Alst |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 28 | 20 | -8 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 29 | 14 | -15 | Brandon Jones |
| 30 | 12 | -18 | Sam Mayer |
| 31 | 17 | -14 | Bubba Pollard |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Garrett Smithley |
| 33 | 15 | -18 | William Sawalich |
| 34 | 34 | — | Logan Bearden |
| 35 | 25 | -10 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 36 | 1 | -35 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 37 | 33 | -4 | Carson Ware |
| 38 | 11 | -27 | A.J. Allmendinger |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 4 | +19.0 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 5 | +12.7 |
| 7 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 7 | +15.0 |
| 11 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 11 | +11.1 |
| 12 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 12 | +9.0 |
| 13 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 13 | +10.1 |
| 14 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 14 | +6.2 |
| 28 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 28 | -9.7 |
| 38 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 38 | -19.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Aric Almirola: has 40 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 16.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P23. Track history: 18 starts, 17.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville?
Aric Almirola won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville was held at Martinsville Speedway on November 2, 2024.