Arizona.Travel 200

Phoenix Raceway — January 1, 2007

Kyle Busch

Winner

203

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2007 Arizona.Travel 200 at Phoenix Raceway on January 1, 2007, leading 132 of 203 laps. Matt Kenseth finished second; Clint Bowyer rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Monday, January 1, 2007

Track

Phoenix Raceway

Season

2007

Winner

Kyle Busch

Leaders

7 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	4	+3	Kyle Busch	Hendrick Motorsports		203	—	Running	132	195
2	9	+7	Matt Kenseth	Roush Fenway Racing		203	—	Running	12	150
3	1	-2	Clint Bowyer	Richard Childress Racing		203	—	Running	28	170
4	2	-2	Scott Wimmer	Richard Childress Racing		203	—	Running	2	165
5	6	+1	Kevin Harvick	Richard Childress Racing		203	—	Running	—	155
6	3	-3	Kasey Kahne	Gillett Evernham Motorsports	Dodge	203	—	Running	1	155
7	28	+21	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		203	—	Running	—	146
8	30	+22	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		203	—	Running	—	142
9	5	-4	Jamie McMurray	Roush Fenway Racing		203	—	Running	—	138
10	19	+9	Ron Hornaday Jr.	Kevin Harvick Inc.		203	—	Running	—	134
11	18	+7	J.J. Yeley	Phoenix Racing		203	—	Running	—	130
12	15	+3	David Reutimann	Michael Waltrip Racing		203	—	Running	—	127
13	16	+3	A.J. Allmendinger	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	203	—	Running	—	124
14	27	+13	Michael McDowell	Michael Waltrip Racing		203	—	Running	—	121
15	38	+23	Marcos Ambrose	JTG Daugherty Racing		203	—	Running	—	118
16	11	-5	Brad Coleman	Joe Gibbs Racing		203	—	Running	—	115
17	23	+6	Mike Wallace	Phoenix Racing		203	—	Running	—	112
18	13	-5	Tony Raines	Kevin Harvick Inc.		203	—	Running	—	109
19	10	-9	Stephen Leicht	Robert Yates Racing		203	—	Running	—	106
20	7	-13	Robby Gordon	Baker Curb Racing		203	—	Running	—	103
21	22	+1	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		203	—	Running	—	100
22	26	+4	Kelly Bires	JTG Daugherty Racing		203	—	Running	—	97
23	12	-11	David Ragan	Roush Fenway Racing		203	—	Running	—	94
24	31	+7	Bobby Hamilton Jr.	Team Rensi Motorsports		203	—	Running	—	91
25	34	+9	Kyle Krisiloff	ppc Racing		202	—	Running	—	88
26	37	+11	John Graham	Baker Curb Racing		201	—	Running	—	85
27	21	-6	Brian Vickers	ppc Racing		199	—	Running	—	82
28	14	-14	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing		198	—	Running	7	84
29	8	-21	Dario Franchitti	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	197	—	DNF - Crash	—	76
30	32	+2	Stanton Barrett	Stanton Barrett Racing		196	—	DNF - Crash	—	73
31	40	+9	Richard Johns	Team Rensi Motorsports		195	—	DNF - Crash	—	70
32	20	-12	Mike Bliss	FitzBradshaw Racing	Dodge	181	—	DNF - Crash	—	67
33	39	+6	Blake Bjorklund	Haas CNC Racing		180	—	Running	—	64
34	17	-17	Landon Cassill	Hendrick Motorsports		170	—	Running	—	61
35	25	-10	Jason Keller	CJM Racing		138	—	DNF - Crash	—	58
36	24	-12	Greg Biffle	Roush Fenway Racing		137	—	DNF - Crash	21	60
37	41	+4	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing	Dodge	137	—	DNF - Crash	—	52
38	42	+4	Jeremy Clements	McGill Motorsports		34	—	DNF	—	49
39	29	-10	Sam Hornish Jr.	Penske Racing	Dodge	22	—	DNF - Crash	—	46
40	36	-4	Todd Souza	Kelly Souza (Owner)		21	—	DNF - Crash	—	43
41	35	-6	Kertus Davis	JD Motorsports		18	—	DNF	—	40
42	43	+1	Frank Kreyer	Mac Hill Motorsports		8	—	DNF - Crash	—	37
43	33	-10	D.J. Kennington	MacDonald Motorsports	Dodge	7	—	DNF - Crash	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Kyle Busch	15.6	1	+14.6	Coinflip
11	J.J. Yeley	28.1	11	+17.1	High Confidence
13	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	13	+5.3	Moderate
14	Michael McDowell	15.0	14	+1.0	Coinflip
21	Brad Keselowski	12.0	21	-9.0	Coinflip
28	Denny Hamlin	6.8	28	-21.2	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kyle Busch: has 34 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 7.1 avg finish (7 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 29 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 11.5 avg finish (1 win), finishing P28 on the day.
J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P11 vs predicted P28. Track history: 16 starts, 20.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2007 Arizona.Travel 200?

Kyle Busch won the 2007 Arizona.Travel 200 at Phoenix Raceway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.

Where was the 2007 Arizona.Travel 200 held?

The 2007 Arizona.Travel 200 was held at Phoenix Raceway on January 1, 2007.