Dollar General 300

Charlotte Motor Speedway — January 1, 2007

Jeff Burton

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Jeff Burton won the 2007 Dollar General 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2007, leading 61 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Dale Earnhardt Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Monday, January 1, 2007

Track

Charlotte Motor Speedway

Season

2007

Winner

Jeff Burton

Leaders

5 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	13	+12	Jeff Burton	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	61	195
2	24	+22	Kyle Busch	Hendrick Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	170
3	26	+23	Dale Earnhardt Jr.	Dale Earnhardt Inc.		200	—	Running	—	165
4	7	+3	Aric Almirola	Joe Gibbs Racing		200	—	Running	—	160
5	6	+1	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing		200	—	Running	—	155
6	10	+4	David Ragan	Roush Fenway Racing		200	—	Running	—	150
7	29	+22	Robby Gordon	Robby Gordon Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	146
8	16	+8	Clint Bowyer	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	10	147
9	30	+21	Kelly Bires	JTG Daugherty Racing		200	—	Running	—	138
10	25	+15	Kevin Harvick	Kevin Harvick Inc.		200	—	Running	—	134
11	35	+24	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	130
12	8	-4	David Reutimann	Michael Waltrip Racing		200	—	Running	—	127
13	19	+6	Scott Wimmer	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	—	124
14	20	+6	Bobby Labonte	Kevin Harvick Inc.		200	—	Running	—	121
15	32	+17	Mike Wallace	Phoenix Racing		200	—	Running	—	118
16	23	+7	Bobby Hamilton Jr.	Team Rensi Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	115
17	12	-5	Kasey Kahne	Gillett Evernham Motorsports	Dodge	200	—	Running	16	117
18	9	-9	Stephen Leicht	Robert Yates Racing		200	—	Running	—	109
19	27	+8	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		200	—	Running	—	106
20	14	-6	Bryan Clauson	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	103
21	38	+17	Kyle Krisiloff	ppc Racing		200	—	Running	—	100
22	42	+20	Casey Atwood	Baker Curb Racing		199	—	Running	—	97
23	34	+11	Jeremy Clements	McGill Motorsports		198	—	Running	—	94
24	17	-7	Stanton Barrett	Stanton Barrett Racing		196	—	Running	—	91
25	15	-10	Reed Sorenson	Rusty Wallace Racing	Dodge	181	—	DNF - Crash	—	88
26	28	+2	A.J. Allmendinger	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	179	—	Running	—	85
27	21	-6	Richard Johns	Team Rensi Motorsports		173	—	Running	—	82
28	22	-6	Brad Baker	Baker Curb Racing		168	—	Running	—	79
29	11	-18	Mike Bliss	FitzBradshaw Racing	Dodge	142	—	DNF - Crash	—	76
30	1	-29	Greg Biffle	Roush Fenway Racing		140	—	DNF - Crash	53	78
31	2	-29	Matt Kenseth	Roush Fenway Racing		133	—	DNF - Crash	—	70
32	31	-1	Jimmie Johnson	Hendrick Motorsports		132	—	DNF - Crash	—	67
33	5	-28	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		132	—	DNF - Crash	60	69
34	36	+2	Jason Keller	CJM Racing		130	—	DNF - Crash	—	61
35	40	+5	Blake Bjorklund	Haas CNC Racing		122	—	DNF - Engine	—	58
36	4	-32	Dave Blaney	ppc Racing		121	—	DNF - Engine	—	55
37	41	+4	J.J. Yeley	Phoenix Racing		118	—	DNF - Engine	—	52
38	3	-35	Jamie McMurray	Roush Fenway Racing		106	—	DNF - Crash	—	49
39	33	-6	Bobby Santos	Riley-D'Hondt Motorsports		95	—	DNF - Crash	—	46
40	18	-22	Marcos Ambrose	JTG Daugherty Racing		27	—	DNF - Crash	—	43
41	39	-2	Carl Long	Fridel-Carter Motorsports	Dodge	27	—	DNF	—	40
42	37	-5	Kertus Davis	JD Motorsports		16	—	DNF	—	37
43	43	—	Morgan Shepherd	Faith Motorsports (Shepherd)	Dodge	14	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Kyle Busch	17.0	2	+15.0	Coinflip
5	Denny Hamlin	8.2	5	+3.2	High Confidence
11	Brad Keselowski	11.2	11	+0.2	Moderate
26	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	26	-7.7	Moderate
32	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	32	-12.1	Moderate
37	J.J. Yeley	28.8	37	-8.2	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Jeff Burton: has 44 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 16.9 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 68 starts, 8.4 avg finish.

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Track

Charlotte Motor Speedway

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2007 Dollar General 300?

Jeff Burton won the 2007 Dollar General 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.

Where was the 2007 Dollar General 300 held?

The 2007 Dollar General 300 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2007.