Zippo 200

Watkins Glen International — January 1, 2008

Marcos Ambrose

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Marcos Ambrose won the 2008 Zippo 200 at Watkins Glen International on January 1, 2008, leading 5 of 82 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Matt Kenseth rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Tuesday, January 1, 2008

Track

Watkins Glen International

Season

2008

Winner

Marcos Ambrose

Leaders

7 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	12	+11	Marcos Ambrose	JTG Daugherty Racing		82	—	Running	5	190
2	7	+5	Kyle Busch	Riley-D'Hondt Motorsports		82	—	Running	12	175
3	16	+13	Matt Kenseth	Roush Fenway Racing		82	—	Running	—	165
4	6	+2	Kevin Harvick	Kevin Harvick Inc.		82	—	Running	—	160
5	1	-4	Dario Franchitti	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	82	—	Running	18	160
6	5	-1	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	150
7	20	+13	Joey Logano	Joe Gibbs Racing		82	—	Running	—	146
8	11	+3	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		82	—	Running	3	147
9	34	+25	David Ragan	Roush Fenway Racing		82	—	Running	—	138
10	28	+18	Brad Coleman	Baker Curb Racing		82	—	Running	—	134
11	10	-1	Max Papis	Team Rensi Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	130
12	9	-3	Ryan Newman	FitzBradshaw Racing	Dodge	82	—	Running	—	127
13	14	+1	Mike Bliss	Phoenix Racing		82	—	Running	—	124
14	13	-1	Jeff Burton	Richard Childress Racing		82	—	Running	25	131
15	35	+20	David Reutimann	Michael Waltrip Racing		82	—	Running	2	123
16	31	+15	Bobby Hamilton Jr.	Team Rensi Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	115
17	21	+4	Kelly Bires	JTG Daugherty Racing		82	—	Running	—	112
18	30	+12	Mike Wallace	Germain Racing		82	—	Running	—	109
19	2	-17	Robby Gordon	Robby Gordon Motorsports	Dodge	82	—	Running	—	106
20	26	+6	Brian Simo	Front Row Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	103
21	37	+16	Kenny Wallace	Robinson-Blakeney Racing		82	—	Running	—	100
22	19	-3	Patrick Carpentier	Richard Petty Motorsports	Dodge	82	—	Running	—	97
23	17	-6	Clint Bowyer	Richard Childress Racing		82	—	Running	—	94
24	39	+15	Morgan Shepherd	Faith Motorsports (Shepherd)		81	—	Running	—	91
25	15	-10	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		81	—	Running	—	88
26	33	+7	Stanton Barrett	SKI Motorsports		81	—	Running	—	85
27	22	-5	Boris Said	Means Motorsports		81	—	Running	—	82
28	25	-3	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing		79	—	DNF	—	79
29	3	-26	Jimmie Johnson	JR Motorsports		78	—	DNF	17	81
30	18	-12	Dale Earnhardt Jr.	JR Motorsports		78	—	Running	—	73
31	36	+5	Landon Cassill	Jay Robinson Racing		76	—	Running	—	70
32	24	-8	Jason Keller	CJM Racing		68	—	DNF	—	67
33	42	+9	Stan Barrett	Specialty Racing		61	—	DNF	—	64
34	4	-30	Denny Hamlin	Braun Racing		59	—	DNF	—	61
35	41	+6	Wheeler Boys	JD Motorsports		41	—	DNF - Crash	—	58
36	8	-28	Sam Hornish Jr.	Penske Racing	Dodge	40	—	DNF - Crash	—	55
37	32	-5	Antonio Perez	Troy Williams (Owner)	Dodge	39	—	DNF - Crash	—	52
38	23	-15	P.J. Jones	MacDonald Motorsports	Dodge	23	—	DNF	—	49
39	43	+4	Stan Silva Jr.	Stan Silva Jr. (Owner)		21	—	DNF - Crash	—	46
40	40	—	Brandon Whitt	Specialty Racing		8	—	DNF	—	43
41	38	-3	Dale Quarterley	Elite 2 Racing		7	—	DNF	—	40
42	27	-15	Michael McDowell	MSRP Motorsports		3	—	DNF	—	37
43	29	-14	Chris Cook	MSRP Motorsports		0	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 15.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
6	Brad Keselowski	16.7	6	+10.7	High Confidence
7	Joey Logano	12.7	7	+5.7	Moderate
29	Jimmie Johnson	16.7	29	-12.3	Moderate
34	Denny Hamlin	16.7	34	-17.3	Moderate
42	Michael McDowell	13.0	42	-29.0	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Marcos Ambrose: has 11 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 5.4 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Joey Logano: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
Brad Keselowski: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P17. Track history: 24 starts, 13.3 avg finish.

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Track

Watkins Glen International

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2008 Zippo 200?

Marcos Ambrose won the 2008 Zippo 200 at Watkins Glen International driving for JTG Daugherty Racing.

Where was the 2008 Zippo 200 held?

The 2008 Zippo 200 was held at Watkins Glen International on January 1, 2008.