at New Hampshire

New Hampshire Motor Speedway — January 1, 2009

Kyle Busch
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
5
Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2009 at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 37 of 200 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 9 +8 Kyle Busch
2 1 -1 Joey Logano
3 7 +4 Brad Keselowski
4 10 +6 Mike Bliss
5 5 Kevin Harvick
6 2 -4 Carl Edwards
7 6 -1 Greg Biffle
8 4 -4 Scott Speed
9 11 +2 Erik Darnell
10 12 +2 Jason Leffler
11 24 +13 Steve Wallace
12 8 -4 Brian Vickers
13 13 Justin Allgaier
14 3 -11 Clint Bowyer
15 16 +1 Michael McDowell
16 14 -2 Scott Lagasse Jr.
17 20 +3 Scott Wimmer
18 28 +10 Elliott Sadler
19 31 +12 Michael Annett
20 21 +1 Kenny Wallace
21 38 +17 Brendan Gaughan
22 43 +21 Sean Caisse
23 23 Jason Keller
24 35 +11 Matt Carter
25 30 +5 Ken Butler III
26 39 +13 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
27 18 -9 Joe Nemechek
28 36 +8 John Wes Townley
29 25 -4 Bobby Hamilton Jr.
30 40 +10 Tony Raines
31 34 +3 Benny Gordon
32 42 +10 Chase Mattioli
33 41 +8 Eric McClure
34 26 -8 Brian Keselowski
35 15 -20 Paul Menard
36 32 -4 Mark Green
37 33 -4 Derrike Cope
38 29 -9 Travis Kittleson
39 27 -12 Kevin Lepage
40 22 -18 Casey Atwood
41 19 -22 Kelly Bires
42 37 -5 Willie Allen
43 17 -26 Johnny Chapman
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Busch 15.6 1 +14.6
2 Joey Logano 12.1 2 +10.1
3 Brad Keselowski 12.0 3 +9.0
13 Justin Allgaier 17.7 13 +4.7
15 Michael McDowell 15.0 15 0.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Busch: has 44 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (9 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 34 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P3 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 at New Hampshire?
Kyle Busch won the 2009 at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2009 at New Hampshire held?
The 2009 at New Hampshire was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on January 1, 2009.