Dollar General 300 powered by Coca-Cola

Chicagoland Speedway — January 1, 2009

Joey Logano
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
7
Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2009 Dollar General 300 powered by Coca-Cola at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2009, leading 96 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Brian Vickers rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Season
2009
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Joey Logano
2 6 +4 Kyle Busch
3 2 -1 Brian Vickers
4 12 +8 Jason Leffler
5 10 +5 Kevin Harvick
6 1 -5 Carl Edwards
7 17 +10 Greg Biffle
8 13 +5 David Reutimann
9 15 +6 Mike Bliss
10 9 -1 Justin Allgaier
11 16 +5 Jeff Burton
12 8 -4 Trevor Bayne
13 25 +12 Brendan Gaughan
14 11 -3 Paul Menard
15 26 +11 Scott Wimmer
16 21 +5 Steve Wallace
17 18 +1 Michael Annett
18 14 -4 Brad Keselowski
19 35 +16 Jason Keller
20 30 +10 Scott Lagasse Jr.
21 22 +1 John Wes Townley
22 4 -18 Ryan Newman
23 34 +11 Tony Raines
24 24 Joe Nemechek
25 39 +14 Michael McDowell
26 29 +3 Shelby Howard
27 37 +10 Kenny Wallace
28 41 +13 Robert Richardson Jr.
29 23 -6 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
30 27 -3 Dennis Setzer
31 38 +7 Eric McClure
32 40 +8 Matt Carter
33 42 +9 Mike Harmon
34 5 -29 David Ragan
35 43 +8 Jeremy Clements
36 36 Derrike Cope
37 31 -6 Casey Atwood
38 33 -5 Mike Wallace
39 32 -7 Kevin Lepage
40 7 -33 Kelly Bires
41 19 -22 Terry Cook
42 20 -22 Kertus Davis
43 28 -15 Mark Green
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Joey Logano 14.7 1 +13.7
2 Kyle Busch 17.0 2 +15.0
10 Justin Allgaier 18.3 10 +8.3
18 Brad Keselowski 11.2 18 -6.8
25 Michael McDowell 17.0 25 -8.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Joey Logano: has 17 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 8.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 8.6 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P18 on the day.
  • Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 32 starts, 9.5 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Dollar General 300 powered by Coca-Cola?
Joey Logano won the 2009 Dollar General 300 powered by Coca-Cola at Chicagoland Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2009 Dollar General 300 powered by Coca-Cola held?
The 2009 Dollar General 300 powered by Coca-Cola was held at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2009.