NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte

Charlotte Motor Speedway — October 12, 2012

Joey Logano
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
9
Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 12, 2012, leading 62 of 200 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Elliott Sadler rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, October 12, 2012
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Joey Logano
2 5 +3 Kevin Harvick
3 1 -2 Elliott Sadler
4 6 +2 Kyle Busch
5 8 +3 Denny Hamlin
6 2 -4 Austin Dillon
7 4 -3 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
8 7 -1 Brian Scott
9 18 +9 James Buescher
10 13 +3 Michael Annett
11 11 Danica Patrick
12 29 +17 Reed Sorenson
13 19 +6 Cole Whitt
14 22 +8 Ryan Blaney
15 15 Brad Sweet
16 27 +11 Jeff Green
17 33 +16 Joe Nemechek
18 9 -9 Brad Keselowski
19 17 -2 Jeremy Clements
20 41 +21 Robert Richardson Jr.
21 38 +17 Erik Darnell
22 25 +3 Eric McClure
23 40 +17 Mike Wallace
24 21 -3 Kyle Fowler
25 26 +1 David Starr
26 24 -2 Kevin Lepage
27 28 +1 Jeffrey Earnhardt
28 20 -8 Jason Bowles
29 23 -6 Stanton Barrett
30 42 +12 Tony Raines
31 39 +8 Danny Efland
32 12 -20 John Wes Townley
33 32 -1 Timmy Hill
34 16 -18 Justin Allgaier
35 10 -25 Sam Hornish Jr.
36 14 -22 Mike Bliss
37 34 -3 Chase Miller
38 30 -8 J.J. Yeley
39 43 +4 David Green
40 37 -3 Scott Riggs
41 31 -10 Josh Wise
42 36 -6 Charles Lewandoski
43 35 -8 Angela Ruch
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Joey Logano 14.7 1 +13.7
4 Kyle Busch 17.0 4 +13.0
5 Denny Hamlin 8.2 5 +3.2
6 Austin Dillon 17.1 6 +11.1
7 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 7 +12.9
14 Ryan Blaney 9.2 14 -4.8
18 Brad Keselowski 11.2 18 -6.8
25 David Starr 20.9 25 -4.1
33 Timmy Hill 23.9 33 -9.1
34 Justin Allgaier 18.3 34 -15.7
38 J.J. Yeley 28.8 38 -9.2

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Joey Logano: has 34 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte?
Joey Logano won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 12, 2012.