NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 10, 2012
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
8
Leaders
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 10, 2012, leading 55 of 200 laps. Mark Martin finished second; Elliott Sadler rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 10, 2012
Track
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Mark Martin |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Elliott Sadler |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Trevor Bayne |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 6 | 22 | +16 | Cole Whitt |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Austin Dillon |
| 8 | 8 | — | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Kasey Kahne |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Kenny Wallace |
| 12 | 12 | — | Danica Patrick |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Michael Annett |
| 14 | 11 | -3 | James Buescher |
| 15 | 19 | +4 | Mike Bliss |
| 16 | 17 | +1 | Tayler Malsam |
| 17 | 24 | +7 | Mike Wallace |
| 18 | 32 | +14 | Blake Koch |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Johanna Long |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Joe Nemechek |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 22 | 43 | +21 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 23 | 5 | -18 | Brad Keselowski |
| 24 | 40 | +16 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Eric McClure |
| 26 | 42 | +16 | Daryl Harr |
| 27 | 10 | -17 | Jason Bowles |
| 28 | 16 | -12 | Kyle Fowler |
| 29 | 35 | +6 | Tim Schendel |
| 30 | 29 | -1 | Benny Gordon |
| 31 | 38 | +7 | T.J. Bell |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Derrike Cope |
| 33 | 20 | -13 | Kyle Busch |
| 34 | 4 | -30 | Brian Scott |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Erik Darnell |
| 36 | 37 | +1 | Jennifer Cobb |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Joey Gase |
| 38 | 23 | -15 | J.J. Yeley |
| 39 | 33 | -6 | Chase Miller |
| 40 | 28 | -12 | Jeff Green |
| 41 | 39 | -2 | Josh Wise |
| 42 | 26 | -16 | Scott Speed |
| 43 | 41 | -2 | Mike Harmon |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 1 | +18.9 |
| 7 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 7 | +10.1 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 8 | +10.3 |
| 23 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 23 | -11.8 |
| 33 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 33 | -16.0 |
| 37 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 37 | -13.6 |
| 38 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 38 | -9.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: has 18 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 17.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.7 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P23 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 10, 2012.