NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan

Michigan International Speedway — June 16, 2012

Joey Logano
Winner
125
Laps
43
Entries
10
Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan at Michigan International Speedway on June 16, 2012, leading 31 of 125 laps. James Buescher finished second; Kurt Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 16, 2012
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Joey Logano
2 4 +2 James Buescher
3 15 +12 Kurt Busch
4 2 -2 Cole Whitt
5 1 -4 Austin Dillon
6 11 +5 Sam Hornish Jr.
7 13 +6 Michael McDowell
8 7 -1 Paul Menard
9 17 +8 Brian Scott
10 9 -1 Brad Keselowski
11 6 -5 Elliott Sadler
12 18 +6 Michael Annett
13 16 +3 Mike Bliss
14 8 -6 Justin Allgaier
15 23 +8 Joe Nemechek
16 14 -2 Johanna Long
17 22 +5 Jeff Green
18 5 -13 Danica Patrick
19 19 Jason Bowles
20 30 +10 Mike Wallace
21 28 +7 Tayler Malsam
22 27 +5 Erik Darnell
23 36 +13 Tony Raines
24 12 -12 Brad Sweet
25 20 -5 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
26 32 +6 Timmy Hill
27 33 +6 Danny Efland
28 37 +9 Angela Ruch
29 21 -8 Jamie Dick
30 24 -6 Josh Richards
31 31 Jeremy Clements
32 35 +3 T.J. Bell
33 39 +6 Morgan Shepherd
34 10 -24 Kenny Wallace
35 42 +7 Tim Schendel
36 34 -2 Blake Koch
37 38 +1 Scott Riggs
38 29 -9 Chase Miller
39 26 -13 Josh Wise
40 41 +1 Michael Guerity
41 40 -1 Matt DiBenedetto
42 25 -17 Kevin Lepage
43 43 Mike Harmon
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Joey Logano 14.7 1 +13.7
5 Austin Dillon 17.1 5 +12.1
7 Michael McDowell 17.0 7 +10.0
10 Brad Keselowski 11.2 10 +1.2
14 Justin Allgaier 18.3 14 +4.3
25 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 25 -5.1
26 Timmy Hill 23.9 26 -2.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Joey Logano: has 37 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 36 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 12.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P10 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan?
Joey Logano won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan at Michigan International Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Michigan was held at Michigan International Speedway on June 16, 2012.