NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen

Watkins Glen International — August 11, 2012

Carl Edwards

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Carl Edwards won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International on August 11, 2012, leading 9 of 82 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Sam Hornish Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, August 11, 2012

Track

Watkins Glen International

Season

2012

Winner

Carl Edwards

Leaders

9 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	2	+1	Carl Edwards		82	—	Running	9	0
2	4	+2	Brad Keselowski	Dodge	82	—	Running	44	0
3	1	-2	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	82	—	Running	15	42
4	10	+6	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.		82	—	Running	—	40
5	15	+10	Ron Fellows		82	—	Running	—	39
6	5	-1	Kyle Busch		82	—	Running	1	0
7	11	+4	Kasey Kahne		82	—	Running	—	0
8	3	-5	Paul Menard		82	—	Running	—	0
9	8	-1	Justin Allgaier		82	—	Running	1	36
10	9	-1	Brian Scott		82	—	Running	—	34
11	19	+8	Michael Annett		82	—	Running	—	33
12	7	-5	Elliott Sadler		82	—	Running	—	32
13	14	+1	Miguel Paludo		82	—	Running	4	0
14	20	+6	Mike Bliss		82	—	Running	—	30
15	13	-2	Ryan Truex		82	—	Running	2	30
16	16	—	Victor Gonzalez Jr.		82	—	Running	—	28
17	27	+10	Jason Bowles		82	—	Running	—	27
18	28	+10	Mike Wallace		82	—	Running	—	26
19	21	+2	Jeremy Clements		82	—	Running	1	26
20	34	+14	Kenny Habul		82	—	Running	—	24
21	24	+3	Kyle Kelley		82	—	Running	—	23
22	6	-16	Joey Logano		82	—	Running	—	0
23	30	+7	Austin Dillon		82	—	Running	—	21
24	12	-12	Cole Whitt		81	—	Running	—	20
25	39	+14	Tim Connolly		81	—	Running	—	19
26	40	+14	Eric McClure		77	—	Running	—	18
27	26	-1	Joe Nemechek		55	—	DNF	—	17
28	41	+13	Tony Raines		45	—	DNF	—	0
29	25	-4	Alex Kennedy		37	—	DNF	5	16
30	38	+8	Daryl Harr		33	—	DNF	—	14
31	31	—	J.J. Yeley		27	—	DNF	—	0
32	42	+10	Dexter Stacey		25	—	DNF	—	12
33	43	+10	Morgan Shepherd		23	—	DNF	—	11
34	35	+1	Eric Curran	Dodge	18	—	DNF	—	10
35	29	-6	Timmy Hill		14	—	DNF	—	9
36	37	+1	Matthew Bell		11	—	DNF	—	8
37	32	-5	Chris Cook		8	—	DNF	—	0
38	17	-21	Alex Popow		5	—	DNF	—	6
39	18	-21	Josh Wise		3	—	DNF	—	0
40	33	-7	Jeff Green		3	—	DNF	—	4
41	36	-5	Matt DiBenedetto		2	—	DNF	—	3
42	22	-20	Stephen Leicht		2	—	DNF	—	0
43	23	-20	Danica Patrick		2	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Brad Keselowski	16.7	2	+14.7	High Confidence
4	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	21.4	4	+17.4	High Confidence
6	Kyle Busch	13.0	6	+7.0	Coinflip
9	Justin Allgaier	16.8	9	+7.8	Moderate
15	Ryan Truex	20.8	15	+5.8	Coinflip
22	Joey Logano	12.7	22	-9.3	Moderate
23	Austin Dillon	21.4	23	-1.6	Moderate
31	J.J. Yeley	21.9	31	-9.1	High Confidence
35	Timmy Hill	20.8	35	-14.2	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Carl Edwards: has 18 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 11.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Joey Logano: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P22 on the day.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P21. Track history: 16 starts, 21.3 avg finish.

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Watkins Glen International

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen?

Carl Edwards won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International.

Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen held?

The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Watkins Glen was held at Watkins Glen International on August 11, 2012.