Fan Appreciation 200 Presented By New Holland
Iowa Speedway — January 1, 2013
James Buescher
Winner
212
Laps
36
Entries
6
Leaders
James Buescher won the 2013 Fan Appreciation 200 Presented By New Holland at Iowa Speedway on January 1, 2013, leading 9 of 212 laps. Ross Chastain finished second; Ty Dillon rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
Track
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | James Buescher |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Ross Chastain |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Ty Dillon |
| 4 | 25 | +21 | Johnny Sauter |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 6 | 18 | +12 | German Quiroga |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Matt Crafton |
| 8 | 8 | — | Jeb Burton |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | Erik Jones |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | John Wes Townley |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Timothy Peters |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Max Gresham |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Miguel Paludo |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Ben Kennedy |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 17 | 13 | -4 | Ron Hornaday Jr. |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | Steve Wallace |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | Justin Lofton |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | Brandon Jones |
| 21 | 19 | -2 | Ryan Sieg |
| 22 | 24 | +2 | Brennan Newberry |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Justin Jennings |
| 24 | 4 | -20 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 25 | 17 | -8 | Joey Coulter |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Matthew Kurzejewski |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Norm Benning |
| 29 | 33 | +4 | Steve Smith |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Jeff Agnew |
| 31 | 7 | -24 | Chase Elliott |
| 32 | 29 | -3 | Chris Jones |
| 33 | 27 | -6 | Bryan Silas |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Mike Harmon |
| 35 | 30 | -5 | Jimmy Weller III |
| 36 | 36 | — | Chris Lafferty |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 2 | +11.3 |
| 3 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 3 | +20.4 |
| 5 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 5 | +7.7 |
| 9 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 9 | +7.7 |
| 10 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 10 | -0.8 |
| 31 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 31 | -23.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- James Buescher: has 9 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 13.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 9.5 avg finish, finishing P31 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P23. Track history: 11 starts, 8.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 Fan Appreciation 200 Presented By New Holland?
James Buescher won the 2013 Fan Appreciation 200 Presented By New Holland at Iowa Speedway driving for Turner Scott Motorsports.
Where was the 2013 Fan Appreciation 200 Presented By New Holland held?
The 2013 Fan Appreciation 200 Presented By New Holland was held at Iowa Speedway on January 1, 2013.