Michigan 200
Michigan International Speedway — January 1, 2013
James Buescher
Winner
100
Laps
32
Entries
5
Leaders
James Buescher won the 2013 Michigan 200 at Michigan International Speedway on January 1, 2013, leading 4 of 100 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Ty Dillon rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | James Buescher |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Ty Dillon |
| 4 | 20 | +16 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Miguel Paludo |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Timothy Peters |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | John Wes Townley |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Matt Crafton |
| 10 | 1 | -9 | Jeb Burton |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Ron Hornaday Jr. |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Brennan Newberry |
| 13 | 13 | — | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 14 | 9 | -5 | Joey Coulter |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Ryan Sieg |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Bryan Silas |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Brett Moffitt |
| 18 | 4 | -14 | Max Gresham |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | German Quiroga |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | Johnny Sauter |
| 21 | 15 | -6 | Bubba Wallace |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Norm Benning |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | Mike Harmon |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Chris Lafferty |
| 27 | 27 | — | Chris Jones |
| 28 | 24 | -4 | Jake Crum |
| 29 | 28 | -1 | Scott Riggs |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Danny Efland |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Todd Peck |
| 32 | 19 | -13 | Ryan Blaney |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 3 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 3 | +20.4 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 4 | +10.7 |
| 21 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 21 | -8.3 |
| 24 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 24 | +4.8 |
| 32 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 32 | -22.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- James Buescher: has 7 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 10.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 16.6 avg finish (1 win), finishing P32 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P23. Track history: 18 starts, 17.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 Michigan 200?
James Buescher won the 2013 Michigan 200 at Michigan International Speedway driving for Turner Scott Motorsports.
Where was the 2013 Michigan 200 held?
The 2013 Michigan 200 was held at Michigan International Speedway on January 1, 2013.